Stephen Simpson, CFA
Long only, growth at reasonable price, value, research analyst

UniCredit's Valuation Seems Fair Given The Potential And The Risks

Like other European banks badly damaged in the credit crisis and the deep recession that followed, UniCredit SpA (OTCPK:UNCFF) has faced a difficult road back to normalcy. The company has had to turn to highly dilutive financing to stay in business and conditions in the company's core Italian market have not really improved all that quickly. Even so, the company's shares have followed a similar trajectory to damaged-but-not-dead European banks like Societe Generale (OTCPK:SCGLY), Santander (NYSE:SAN), and Intesa Sanpaolo (OTCPK:ISNPY), with the stock up about 47% over the past year and over 130% over the past two years.

UniCredit is a challenging case from a valuation perspective. The company's sizable exposure to...

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