Market Map Allocates To Long Bond

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Includes: TLT
by: Market Map

Summary

The Market Map model indicates allocation to long bonds.

Since 1924, there were 15 instances of long bond allocation.

This allocation applies to the 3rd quarter of 2014.

As another predefined date for asset allocation action as defined * by the Market Map model has been reached, at this time the model is indicating an allocation from cash (position allocated on 01/24/2014) to a 75% allocation in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:TLT). The model identified 15 previous instances of allocation to long bonds in the investment timeline since 1924.

Buy date sell date return
7/1/1929 9/30/1929 1.7%
7/1/1930 10/6/1930 -0.2%
7/11/1946 9/30/46 0.0%
7/5/1960 10/3/1960 -4.6%
9/3/1982 10/2/1982 2.0%
7/10/1992 10/2/1992 4.1%
7/11/1997 10/3/1997 4.9%
7/2/1998 10/2/1998 7.2%
7/2/1999 10/2/1999 0.8%
7/6/2000 9/28/2000 2.6%
7/6/2001 9/29/2001 5.6%
7/5/2002 10/4/2002 11.9%
7/3/2008 10/3/2008 3.3%
7/9/2010 10/1/2010 4.9%
7/8/2011 9/30/2011 16.0%
7/11/2014 9/29/2014 ?
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The long bond allocations within the full record of model allocation changes can be seen here.

* Objective # 3. To make infrequent asset allocation changes occurring on fixed, predefined dates during the course of market cycles. See objectives.

Disclosure: The author is long TLT. The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it. The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.