Last week was volatile thanks to China raising its interest rates a quarter basis point. This rate hike caused the dollar to spike in value, which in turn forced equities and metals to sell off sharply. This one day event caused equities to break below a short term support level causing a large number of protective stops to be triggered. This added more selling pressure causing the market to be down nearly 2.5% at one point but a late day bounce recouped a good chunk of the drop.
Wednesday & Thursday the market had a nice rally making back all of losses and then some. But Thursday afternoon we saw the market slip below a key short term support level and triggered another wave of stops. The market continues to show resilience when it recovered into the close, saving the day.
After Thursday’s end-of-day rally, we had expected a typical light volume session which typically chops around in a sideways or slow grind higher.
SPY – SP500 ETF 10 Minute Intraday Chart (Click to enlarge)
I have put together a short video covering last week's price action along with that I feel is likely to unfold this week: SPX, Dollar, Oil & Gold Analysis video.
Disclosure: I do not own these funds