Seeking Alpha
Bonds, commodities, ETF investing, long/short equity
Profile| Send Message|
( followers)  

By New Deal Democrat

The index of industrial production has grown at nearly a 5% rate in the past year (blue in the graph below), which is as good as it has been since the turn of the Millennium with the brief exception of 2010 vs. the 2009 depths of the recession:

(click to enlarge)

Similarly, nonfarm payroll growth (red), at about 1.9% YoY, is also as good as it has been since the turn of the Millennium.

In other words, where we have been over the last 12 months is what passes for the economy firing on all cylinders at any point in the last 15 years.

Just to put that in perspective, here is the same data going back to 1983:

(click to enlarge)

You can see that the last 15 years have been pathetic compared to the 15 years before that (and the 1980s and 1990s weren't as good as the 1960s and 1970s).

Source: Industrial Production And Nonfarm Payrolls: As Good As It Gets, Millennium Edition