Seeking Alpha

On April 11, 2005, Carmike Cinemas (ticker: CKEC) gave a presentation at the Wachovia Securities Media & Communications Fixed Income Conference.  Here are notes from that presentation:

Business Outlook for 2005:

  • Strong slate of movies that are well suited to CKEC's theaters
  • On track to enter 2 new markets and open 7 new theaters in existing markets
  • Potential to grow through acquisition
  • Potential to restructure/refinance debt
  • Maintain focus on growing cash flows

Company profile:

  • Uniquely positioned as 'America's home town exhibitor'
  • Focus on small-to-mid sized, non-urban markets
  • 80% of theaters in cities with fewer than 100,000 people
  • Profitable and free cash flow positive strategy
  • Simple strategy: popcorn, Coke & a movie

Gross Margins -  Popcorn

  • Small: 96%
  • Medium: 94%
  • Large: 95%

Gross Margins -  Coke

  • Small: 92%
  • Medium: 89%
  • Large: 86%

Theater quality:

  • 80% of theaters have been built, retrofitted or refurbished since 1997
  • 70% of theaters have digital sound
  • 43% of screens have stadium seating

New Theaters in 2005

  • Cullman, AL: 10 screens
  • Cartersville, GA: 12 screens
  • Ft. Ogelthorpe, GA: 10 screens
  • Chubbuck, ID: 10 screens
  • Ft. Wayne, IN: 20 screens
  • Findlay, OH: 12 screens
  • Myrtle Beach, SC: 12 screens
  • Chattanooga, TN: 14 screens
  • Tyler, TX: 14 screens

New Screens in 2005:

  • Statesboro, GA: 3 screens
  • Hickory, NC: 2 screens
  • Winston-Salem, NC: 2 screens
  • St. Clairsville, OH: 3 screens
  • Columbus, SC: 4 screens
  • Rapid City, SD: 3 screens
  • Clarksville, TN: 5 screens
  • Lufkin, TX: 5 screens

2005 Retrofits

  • Expect to retrofit 100+ screens
  • Average cost per screen is $100,000
  • Retrofitting usually results in increased attendance

# of theaters

  • 2000: 352
  • 2001: 323
  • 2002: 308
  • 2003: 299
  • 2004: 282

# of screens

  • 2000: 2,438
  • 2001: 2,333
  • 2002: 2,262
  • 2003: 2,253
  • 2004: 2,188

# of screens/theater

  • 2000: 6.9
  • 2001: 7.2
  • 2002: 7.3
  • 2003: 7.5
  • 2004: 7.8

Revenues/screen

  • 2002: $224 million
  • 2003: $219 million
  • 2004: $226 million

Theater level cash flow:

  • 2002: $120 million
  • 2003: $117 million
  • 2004: $124 million

Average ticker price:

  • 2000: $4.65

  • 2001: $4.83

  • 2002: $4.90

  • 2003: $4.93

  • 2004: $5.17

Average concession sale/patron:

  • 2000: $1.98

  • 2001: $2.10

  • 2002: $2.17

  • 2003: $2.19

  • 2004: $2.33

2005 Financial objective:

  • Acquire circuits at/below 6x theater level cash flow
  • Restructure/refinance debt
  • Maintain historically low leverage
  • Increase capex to $50 million
  • Continue to deliver high margins
  • Grow cash flow
  • Focus on investor returns

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