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Hudson City Bancorp (NASDAQ:HCBK) has become an icon of traditionally run, prime-only, safe and sound regional banks.

Some time ago I took exception with the PR that Hudson City was spinning as its CEO, Ronald Hermance, appeared on a multitude of business and non-business media (Mad Money, CNBC, Bloomberg, Barron’s… even NPR) speaking of the merits of his bank's “old fashioned” sound traditional lending practices, which included never making subprime loans or other toxic affordability products.

Of course, Hermance downplayed his bank's non-performing loan ratio, which as of Q4 2010 stands at a not-so-respectful 2.82% of total loans, preferring instead to project the picture of a safe bank with only high quality loans and growing deposits.

While Hermance was making the rounds of media outlets and dropping talking points his bank's big mortgages were going bad at a progressively higher rates.

Granted, the current 2.82% non-performing loan ratio is relatively low but the ratio has jumped over 42% since Q4 2009 on an alarming delinquent loan total of $871.3 million.

Although it is true that Hudson City did not participate in subprime lending, the bank originated jumbo loans in a market (primarily the New York, New Jersey metro area) that was as overheated as any during the housing boom.

Big prime loans, even with low loan to values go bust in down economies and our current housing driven bust with significant declines to home prices makes matters worse.

I’ve been arguing for the better part of three years that although the traditional media and apparently general consensus has focused on subprime and other “toxic” mortgage products as the source for the credit tumult, the historic deterioration would by no means be limited to these “bleeding edge” products.

Before this massive housing and general economic contraction is complete, I expect to see new records set for prime defaults, be they prime-Jumbo ARM loans, prime-Jumbo fixed rate loans, prime-conforming ARM loans or prime-conforming fixed rate loans… we will see historic defaults across the entire spectrum of mortgage products.


Source: Prime Time: Hudson City Bancorp Non-Performance Q4