Jim Cramer's Wall Street Confidential Picks, Jan. 24
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Yahoo (YHOO), Google (GOOG), Sun Microsystems (SUNW), AT & T (T), Verizon (VZ), Apple (AAPL), Norfolk Southern (NSC), Union Pacific (UNP), Lennar (LEN), Centex Corp (CTX), Toll Brothers (TOL), DR Horton (DHI) and Pulte (PHM)
Cramer described the "glass half full mode" in tech as the shorts were looking at options expiration last week. "We were confounded by the work off of the options hangover which then positioned tech to be too low and ready for a trade -- just a trade, but a trade is worth grabbing." He added that the fact that Yahoo is up even though the company "doesn't have a clue" will give hedge funds the impression that it will go up whether Yahoo is good or bad and will encourage the shorts to change their position. Cramer also noted that Google was up on Yahoo, and that SUNW is also up, but he doesn't think that the company is doing anything interesting. What Cramer does find interesting is AT & T's strategy, outlined in its conference call, to take customers away from Verizon wireless by offering free service for a 18 months to Apple's iPhone users. Cramer says that NSC's drop is a "false tell" because the company periodically messes up and then ramps. He predicts that UNP will reach $110 to $115 from a recent $97. The "infrastructure crumble" for trucks make the rails "superior to almost any other trend I've got." Cramer calls CTX a "bunch of idiots" because they, along with LEN, TOL, DR Horton and PHM were too bullish at the top. "None of these companies distinguished themselves as good businessmen," he said. "None of them turned out to be cautious." However, he likes the fact that these companies are not building more homes, and prefers being long land inventory than home inventory because land is selling.
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