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The selection of these five very special semiconductor - general companies is based on the following supportive data and both their short and longer-term performance. I expect these companies to continue to do extraordinarily well. However, we just may have to wait awhile before taking positions. Normally, I compare most all securities with Apple, Inc. (AAPL) and when they get close (in my three disciplines) I buy them confidently. Those disciplines are my weighted fundamental, technical and consensus analysis. These companies are rated and compared below with brief comments and are not in any way candidates for buying or short selling at this time.

"The market is doing what it loves to do." Lately, that means it is both fundamentally and technically very fickle. What many investors often forget is that what appears to be a fact is, in reality, very creative fiction. The fictional stories being told by Wall Street and the media are so compelling that the average investor takes the hook, line and sinker most every time. That’s a fact and, for me, it is a very sad way for these businesses to a job of helping investors prosper.

Earning estimates on balance for these companies are positive for the near-term, and should be improving noticeably throughout the coming year. Please note the exceptions! However, you might remember that - the way the "Street" will reward or punish any company in the future is always questionable. It appears that the upside is very strong for these and a number of other similar securities (see my valuations for each below).

My analytics, to a large degree, has to do with comparative and on going studies. Comparing these five companies along with their peers and other top/strong growth/revenue producing companies, in general is what I believe makes or looses you money, both near and long-term.

The current position of the semiconductor - general industry group both U.S. and international is quite high on my consensus rankings of over 200 industry groups. Over the short-term, this industry group does definitely qualify as "currently favorable." Therefore, I expect the majority to hold up well during the coming months. The shares of nearly all its component companies in this industry group should likely be considered for purchase at the conclusion of the anticipated bearish pull back in the marketplace. Over the longer-term I am also quite positive about the technology sector. The question, as always, is: Can you afford the risk/reward ratio and how is your insight for making timely investments? These companies are definitely doing well in this current rally.

In the table below you will see why my approach of valuation offers an array of companies that I believe can be profitable investments in the intermediate-term, however not necessarily now. Remember to be a bit patient before taking positions.

Valuation Analytics Table

Semiconductor - General Industry Group:

Stock and Symbol

Approx. Current Price

My Target Price % Above (+) / Below (-) Current Price – Valuation is "Tweaked.”

One Year Projections are from the next - - Bullish Inflection Point.

PEG

P/E

Forward P/E

Valuation Divergence (%)

One - Year Projected from a Mean – Sigma and from the next - - Bullish Inflection Point.

1. Intel Corp. (INTC)

21.6

10% to 15%

0.0.85

10.6

9.8

8%

Comments: Obviously, this is a "poor" valuation and target price projection. When you do further fundamental studies it does not improve. Add to that, the technical and consensus analysis and you have a conformation that INTC is and remains a just another Dow stock! This is why it is wise to compare - frequently. My work/analytics are for your possibly taking positions at a future date. However, investing at this time may not be wise.

2. Intersil Corp. (ISIL)

13.2

No Projection

1.13

14.1

14.9

Negative

Comments: Obviously, this is a very good - "excellent" valuation and target price projection. When you do further fundamental studies it looks even better. Add to that, the technical and consensus analysis and you have a conformation that ISIL is and remains a winner! This is why it is wise to compare - frequently. My work/analytics are for your possibly taking positions at a future date. However, investing at this time may not be wise.

3. Linear Tech. (LLTC)

35.8

15% to 25%

1.64

16.4

15.0

9%

Comments: Obviously, this is a "poor" valuation and target price projection. When you do further fundamental studies it it does not improve. Add to that, the technical and consensus analysis and you have a conformation that LLTC is and remains – out of possible consideration! This is why it is wise to compare - frequently. My work/analytics are for your possibly taking positions at a future date. However, investing at this time may not be wise.

4. NVDIA Corp. (NVDA)

23.7

30% to 40%

2.16

64.3

23.7

100+%

Comments: Obviously, this is an "excellent" valuation and target price projection. When you do further Fundamental studies it looks even better. Add to that, the technical and consensus analysis and you have a conformation that NVDA is and remains a winner! This is why it is wise to compare - frequently. My work/analytics are for your possibly taking positions at a future date. However, investing at this time may not be wise.

5. Texas Inst. (TXN)

35.9

10% to 20%

1.35

13.7

13.0

5%

Comments: Obviously, this is a "poor" valuation and target price projection. When you do further fundamental studies it looks a lot like Intel Corp. Add to that, the technical and consensus analysis and you have a conformation that TXN is and remains just another fine company! This is why it is wise to compare - frequently. My work/analytics are for your possibly taking positions at a future date. However, investing at this time may not be wise.

Summery of the Three Disciplines:

Company Symbol

Fundamental

Technical

Consensus

1. INTC

Poor

Very Good

Good

2. ISIL

Negative

Very Good

Poor

3. LLTC

Poor

Very Good

Good

4. NVDA

Excellent

Very Good

Good

5. TXN

Poor

Very Good

Good

The general market is currently over-valued, over-bought and is showing signs of deteriorations, especially in the area of breadth. This means that you must consider holding cash or perhaps taking bearish positions. I would not recommend taking bearish positions in any of these securities.

My focus is "investing wisely," e.g. taking advantage of the bull/bear cycles as they occur within the overall marketplace. Integrating modern fundamental analytics within these technical cycles means maintaining a process of the thorough and ongoing analysis of many companies and industry groups. I believe this is a vital discipline in "investing wisely.”

Source information and data:

  • Yahoo Finance
  • MSN Money
  • MorningStar
  • BarCharts
  • StockCharts

Source: Company Valuations for 5 Semiconductors: Still Bullish