Smooth Sailing with Cruise Stocks

January through March is generally the busiest time of the year for reservations on cruise lines. Prospective vacationers are planning their spring and summer cruise vacations.

Some investors think the cruise industry may be hurt by the new passport law, especially for operations in the Caribbean area. However, others think that more cruise travel will be opening up in the near future with Cuba. There are just a few opportunities to climb on board with cruise stocks. Hopefully they won't sink or experience choppiness, but will be smooth sailing for investors. Here they are:

Carnival Corp. (CCL)

Carnival is one of the largest cruise and vacation companies in the world. Their cruise lines, which operate out of North America, the United Kingdom, Germany and Italy, include Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises, Seabourn Cruise Line and Windstar Cruises in North America; AIDA in Germany; Costa Cruises in southern Europe; P&O Cruises, Cunard Line, Ocean Village and Swan Hellenic in the United Kingdom; and P&O Cruises in Australia. They operate a fleet of 81 ships, and will be receiving another 20 ships between now and 2011. They are headquartered in Miami, Florida and London, England. P/E 18, P/S 3.5, yield 2.2%.

Carnival plc (CUK)

This is the ADR for the Carnival stock which trades on the London Exchange. An explanation is necessary. Carnival Corporation & Carnival plc operates under a dual listed company structure in which Carnival Corporation and Carnival plc operate as a single economic entity through contractual agreements between each of their own separate legal entities. Shareholders of both Carnival Corporation and Carnival plc have the same voting participation and economic interest but their shares are listed on different stock exchanges and are not fungible. [Is this as clear as dirty water?]

Carnival Corporation common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CCL. Carnival plc is traded on the London Stock Exchange under the symbol CCL and as an ADS on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CUK. Carnival is the only company in the world to be included in both the S& P 500 index in the U.S. and the FTSE 100 index in the UK. If you look at the graphs for the Corp. and the plc stocks, they seem to move together generally, however, the ADR has outperformed the Corporation stock by several percentage points. Is there an arbitrage opportunity here? Anyway, because of the difference in price, the statistics are somewhat different: P/E 19.7, P/S 3.7, yield 2%.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL)

This company owns Royal Caribbean International [19 cruise ships with over 44,000 berths] and Celebrity Cruises [9 cruise ships with over 15,000 berths]. They also own Pullmantur S.A., which has five ships in Europe and Latin America. The company plans on having six more ships by the end of 2010. They also offers land tour vacations in Alaska, Canada and Europe. They are headquartered in Miami, Florida. P/E 15.4, P/S 1.7, yield 1.4%.

Lehman ABS 8.875 Corporate Backed Trust Certificates, Series 2001-27 Trust (CWZ)

Here's an unusual investment. I wasn't sure if I should put this in the minibond category or the unusual trust category, or both [they are technically referred to as CORTS or corporate-backed trust securities]. This is a publicly traded trust created by Lehman Brothers (LEH). The Trust's assets consist solely of senior debentures issued by Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. They pay dividends of $1.109 per share twice a year every April and October, similar to a bond. But it is traded on the New York Stock Exchange with a par value of $25, similar to a stock. The current yield is 8.6%.

Star Cruises Ltd. [SSKZF.PK]

This company, in the speculative arena, which was founded in 1993 operates in the Asia-Pacific region. They have 18 ships with over 23,000 berths which leave from ports in Singapore, Port Klang (Malaysia), Hong Kong and Keelung. Their brands include Star Cruises, Norwegian Cruise Line, and Orient Lines. It is also a co-owner with Genting Berhad [GEBHY] of the Sentosa casino resort in Singapore.

Comments

[Will Caseber]

Regarding the "new passport law", here is an exerpt from the Travel Business Roundtable website regarding sea/cruise passenger travel:

The new requirement for a passport or other secure travel document will be
enforced for Western Hemisphere travel into the U.S. by cruise ship at some
point prior to June 1, 2009. No exact date is set, but the “sea” or cruise deadline
will be identical to the land border travel date for implementation. By law, cruise
travelers will also have the option of utilizing the PASS (People Access Security Service)
card under development by the U.S. State Department. This is a low-cost, credit card-sized
passport that is envisioned as a less expensive and more convenient alternative to the
traditional book-style passport.

Taken from: www.tbr.org/trvreq/wht...