Several prominent investors expressed their concerns about the U.S. dollar at the Ira Sohn Conference. We interviewed Marc Faber (read entire interview here). Here is part of what he said:
I think that in today’s presentations many observers have expressed a view that it’s very difficult to cut entitlements. In other words, social security, Medicare, and Medicaid because nobody wants to do that. Nobody wants to accept that because everybody lives from that, so essentially the fiscal deficit will stay very large, and it will mean that over time the US dollar will lose its purchasing power, more money will have to be printed, more quantity of easy measures will have to take place, and so forth. And eventually, the children, your children will be affected by all this.
Faber has a reputation for being too pessimistic but we think this time he is very close to reality. Several prominent hedge fund managers like Jim Rogers, Julian Robertson, and Ray Dalio agree with him about the US dollar. As a result, investors and hedge funds are flocking into gold, oil, metals and other hard assets that can retain their value in an inflationary environment. The demand from high growing emerging market countries also put a floor under these commodities.
Hedge funds follow various strategies to benefit from increase in gold prices. Hedge fund managers such as David Einhorn bought physical gold. John Paulson, Dan Loeb and Eric Mindich prefer Gold ETF (GLD). John Griffin, James Dinan like Gold Miners ETF (GDX). Other hedge fund managers invested directly in gold mining stocks.
Here are the top gold producers that hedge funds have and prominent investors invested in at the end of March:
Company | Ticker | Holdings | No. of Funds |
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd | 2,366,391 | 14 | |
Barrick Gold Corp | 1,363,465 | 37 | |
Gold Fields Ltd | 1,233,647 | 14 | |
Newmont Mining Corp | 988,593 | 29 | |
Goldcorp Inc | 701,160 | 19 | |
Kinross Gold Corp | 596,222 | 23 | |
Allied Nevada Gold Corp | 444,486 | 12 | |
Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd | 443,206 | 17 | |
PAN American Silver Corp | 415,919 | 15 | |
Silver Wheaton Corp | 375,808 | 16 | |
IAMGOLD Corp | 371,106 | 15 | |
Silver Standard Resources Inc | 358,338 | 7 | |
Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd | 343,779 | 7 | |
Seabridge Gold Inc | 234,206 | 7 | |
Randgold Resources Ltd | 233,457 | 11 | |
New Gold Inc | 189,773 | 11 | |
Yamana Gold Inc | 184,057 | 15 | |
Gammon Gold Inc | 170,597 | 11 | |
Eldorado Gold Corp | 138,274 | 13 | |
Royal Gold Inc | 102,166 | 7 | |
Great Basin Gold Ltd | 101,167 | 8 | |
Hecla Mining Co | 91,471 | 15 | |
Minefinders Corp | 71,617 | 8 | |
Aurizon Mines Ltd | 59,353 | 9 | |
Northgate Minerals Corp | 59,263 | 8 | |
Cia de Minas Buenaventura SA | 56,736 | 11 | |
Nevsun Resources Ltd | 32,585 | 6 | |
Golden Star Resources Ltd | 30,229 | 11 | |
Gold Resource Corp | 4,224 | 5 | |
Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corp | TRE | 306 | 2 |
Paulson is the most bullish hedge fund manager about gold since 2009. One of his largest investments in gold is AngloGold Ashanti. He has $2 Billion invested in AU. Barrick Gold ranks second with a total of $1.4 Billion in hedge fund positions. ABX is the most popular gold miner in terms of number of hedge funds invested in. There were 37 hedge fund managers in ABX at the end of March. Paul Touradji and Eric Sprott are among these fund managers.
Gold Fields is the third miner with a $1+ Billion cumulative hedge fund ownership. Hedge funds own around 10% of the company. Paulson Eric Mindich have large positions in GFI. Newmont Mining is the second popular gold miner in terms of the number of hedge funds invested in. There were 29 hedge funds with NEM holdings. Steve Cohen and Jim Simons preferred NEM.
We believe gold miners provide a leveraged exposure to gold. These stocks should perform better than gold bullion if prices keep rising. On the other hand they perform worse than gold bullion in bear markets.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
Additional disclosure: I am long physical gold.

