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Jim Van Meerten, Barchart (10 clicks)
Momentum, long only
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Large-cap stocks are starting to move so I screened on Barhchart for S&P 500 stocks with great technical indicators and recent price momentum. Watson Pharmaceuticals (WPI) was right near the top of the list.

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Watson is a pharmaceutical company primarily engaged in the development, production, marketing and distribution of both branded and off-patent pharmaceutical products. The company's branded pharmaceutical business operates primarily in three specialty areas: Dermatology, Women's Health and General Products. The company's products include therapeutic and preventive agents generally sold by prescription or over-the-counter for the treatment of human diseases and disorders.

Factors to consider

Barchart technical indicators

  • 100% Barchart technical buy signal
  • Trend Spotter buy signal
  • Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages
  • 10 new highs and up 6.09% in the last month
  • Relative Strength Index is 65.06% and rising
  • Trades around 65.95 with a 50 day moving average of 62.98

Fundamental factors

  • The company has entered into two new partnerships to distribute generic drugs - one with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) to distribute Concerta and the second with Pfizer (PFE) to distribute Lipator.
  • Wall Street brokerage analysts have released six strong buy, six buy and nine hold recommendations for clients.
  • Sales are expected to increase by 19.80% this year and another 21.30% next year.
  • Earnings estimates are even more robust with projected increases of 25.40% this year, 28.90% next year and an annual increase of 12.37% to last for the next five years.

General investor sentiment

  • The 255 readers of Motley Fool expressing an opinion vote 91% that the stock will beat the market.
  • CAPS members vote 161 to 19 that the stock will out perform the market.
  • The more experienced All Stars are more positive with a 71 to 4 vote.

Summary: A lot of the increases in both sales and earnings come from the new distribution contracts that should be good for a few years. Since Watson has already had a price run up, current investors should hold and new investors should expect to only slightly beat the market. Total five year returns at this price will be in the 5%-7% range.

Source: Watson Benefits From New Partnerships