Earnings Preview: Toll Brothers

Aug. 23, 2011 1:07 PM ETToll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Stock
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Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) is expected to report Q3 earnings before the market open on Wednesday, August 24 with a conference call scheduled for 2:00 pm ET.

Guidance

Analysts are looking for EPS of 3c and revenue of $406.28M. The consensus range is (5c)-13c for EPS, and $359.16M-$462.86M for revenue, according to First Call. Toll missed both EPS and revenue estimates in Q2, and offered a cautiously optimistic view on the overall recovery in the housing market. Recent sentiment in the stock has been mixed, mostly due to macro-economic factors.

Analyst Views

On June 8, notable analyst Meredith Whitney forecast double-digit declines in home prices from current levels. On a positive note, on August 22 Goldman Sachs (GS) said it expected positive Q3 results for Toll, citing a favorable risk/reward ratio. The stock has traded sharply lower since Q2 results were released in late May, dropping from around $20 to a recent $15. Regardless of Q3 results, in the near term Toll will be subject to the performance of the economy.

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