Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) is doing it again: telling the public that everything is going to be just fine, but meanwhile advising their top clients to bet on a huge financial collapse.
On August 16, a 54-page report by Goldman strategist Alan Brazil was distributed to institutional clients. The general public was not intended to see this report. Fortunately, some folks over at The Wall Street Journal got their hands on a copy and have filled us in on some of the details. It turns out that Goldman Sachs secretly believes that an economic collapse is coming, and they have some very interesting ideas about how to make money in the turbulent financial environment that we will soon be entering.
In the report, Brazil says that the U.S. debt problem cannot be solved with more debt, that the European sovereign debt crisis is going to get even worse, and that there are large numbers of financial institutions in Europe that are on the verge of collapse. If this is what people at the highest levels of the financial world are talking about, perhaps we should all start paying attention.
There is a tremendous amount of fear in the global financial community right now. As I wrote about the other day, the financial world is about to hit the panic button. Things could start falling apart at any time. Most of these big banks will not publicly admit how bad things are, but privately there is a whole lot of freaking out going on.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Brazil believes that "as much as $1 trillion in capital may be needed to shore up European banks; that small businesses in the U.S., a past driver of job production, are still languishing; and that China's growth may not be sustainable."
Perhaps most startling of all is what the report has to say about the debt problems of the United States and Europe. The following excerpt from the report sounds like it could have come straight from The Economic Collapse Blog:
Solving a debt problem with more debt has not solved the underlying problem. In the US, Treasury debt growth financed the US consumer but has not had enough of an impact on job growth. Can the US continue to depreciate the world’s base currency?
Remember, this statement was not written by "some guy" on the Internet. A top Goldman Sachs analyst put it into a report for institutional investors.
The report also goes into great detail about the financial crisis in Europe. Brazil writes about how the euro is headed for trouble and about how dozens of financial institutions in Europe could potentially be in danger of collapse.
But in any environment Goldman Sachs thinks that it can make money. The following is how Business Insider summarized the advice that Brazil gave in the report regarding how to make money off of the impending collapse in Europe:
- Buy a six-month put option on the Euro versus the Swiss Franc, thus betting the Euro will drop against the Franc (the Franc being the currency that an official Goldman report recently referred to as the most overvalued in the world)
- Buy a five-year credit default swap on an index of European corporate debt—the iTraxx 9. This is a bet that some of these companies will default, and your insurance policy, the CDS, will pay off
This is so typical of Goldman Sachs. They will say one thing publicly and then turn around and do the total opposite privately.
For example, prior to the financial crisis of 2008, Goldman Sachs was putting together mortgage-backed securities that they knew were garbage and marketing them to investors as AAA-rated investments. On top of that, Goldman then often privately bet against those exact same securities.
The CEO of Goldman Sachs has even acknowledged that the investment bank engaged in "improper" behavior during 2006 and 2007. So will Goldman Sachs ever get into serious trouble for any of this? No, of course not.
Yeah, they will get a slap on the wrist from time to time, but the reality is that the top levels of the federal government are absolutely littered with ex-employees of Goldman Sachs. Goldman is one of the "too big to fail" banks, and they are going to continue to do pretty much whatever they feel like doing.
Sadly, the power of the "too big to fail" banks just continues to grow. At this point, the big six U.S. banks -- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) -- now possess assets equivalent to approximately 60 percent of America's gross national product.
Goldman Sachs was the second-biggest donor to Barack Obama's campaign in 2008, so don't expect Obama to do anything about any of this. We have a financial system that is deeply, deeply corrupt, and all of that corruption is a big reason why things are falling apart.
Sadly, the 54 page report mentioned above is right -- we really are facing a global debt meltdown, and we really are heading for an economic collapse. You aren't going to hear the truth from the media or from our politicians, because keeping people calm is much more of a priority to them than is telling the truth.
The debt crisis in the United States is unsustainable, and the debt crisis in Europe is unsustainable. Right now we are in the calm before the storm, and nobody knows exactly when the storm is going to strike. But let there be no doubt -- it is coming.
The amazing prosperity we have enjoyed for the last several decades has largely been a debt-fueled illusion. It was a great party while it lasted, but now it is coming to an end, and the aftermath of the coming crash is going to be absolutely horrific. Keep watch and get prepared. We don't know exactly when the collapse is going to happen, but it is definitely on the way -- and now even Goldman Sachs is admitting that.