I setup EDGAR online screener to find stocks paying a dividend soon. I don't want to look at all the stocks that pay a dividend, so I filtered the results based on the following:
- Options available
- Dividend amount over $0.08 cents (I understand that many retail traders can not make money with a .08 dividend, but most pros can)
- Active volume to avoid paying a large spread to leg in and out.
There are many dividend capturing strategies, and I have used more than one. In this article we will go over an upcoming dividend that can be captured at a minimum amount of risk. The criteria that I use is that I must be able to sell a call option in either the front, or first back month that is in the money, and with enough premium that I will not mind getting exercised early (which happens often, and can be a good thing if the trades are executed correctly).
This is one of my favorite and easy to understand methods of making gains through options and dividends. Although much of the gains will come from dividends, it should be noted in my experience that the option decay can provide a return. This is especially true in lower-yielding stocks.
Thor Industries, Inc. (NYSE:THO)
- Yield: 2.85%
- Dividend Amount: $0.15
- Ex-Dividend Date: September 28, 2011
- Beta: 2.05
Strategy: In combination with my buying the stock and after checking company updates, offer to sell the December $20.00 strike call for $1.86 over the intrinsic value. The option may get exercised early for a gain. If not, after qualifying for the dividend, I will attempt to close out the trade with a gain of near $0.21. This is a change from using the first back month due to volume. My hold time should still be about the same either way, as my option gain has been reduced to reflect the difference.
The current book value per share is 14.41. Revenue year-over-year has increased to $2.28 billion for 2010 vs. $1.52 billion for 2009. The bottom line has rising earnings year-over-year of $110.06 million for 2010 vs. $17.14 million for 2009. The company's earnings before income and taxes are rising with an EBIT year-over-year of $158.67 million for 2010 vs. $17.20 million for 2009.
At $20.78, the price is currently below the 200-day moving average of 30.24, and below the 60-day moving average of 24.27. Looking at the price movement over the last month, the stock has moved higher in price 17.11%, with a one-year change of -12.89%. Comparing to the S&P 500 price changes, the price performances are 9.50% vs. the S&P 500 from a month ago, and year-to-date difference is -34.88% vs. the S&P 500 price change.
Remember, you must buy a stock at least three business days before the record date (at least one business day before the ex-dividend date) to qualify for a dividend.
My last step (completed before making a trade on the same day) is to check company announcements and news sources for possible events that may cause the stock price to move. This is especially important during earnings season.
I research the different call options and calculate the expected probabilities based on Beta, Bid, Offer, Volume traded the current day, open interest, and time value / implied volatility. The options offer some level of protection from down moves in the stock, and provide revenue to cover the times that the options do not fully cover down moves in the stock. Income is not needed from the option premiums, so a break-even from premiums received/stock losses ratio is a win.
I use a proprietary blend of technical analysis, financial crowd behavior, and fundamentals in my short-term trades, and while not totally the same in longer swing trades to investments, the concepts used are similar. Nothing in the article should be considered investment advise, but you may want to use this article as a starting point of your own research with your financial planner. I use Seeking Alpha, Edgar Online, and Yahoo Finance for most of my data.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in THO over the next 72 hours.