Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Portfolio App for iPad
Finance
(1)

Here are the last five stock mentions from Jim Cramer’A Lightning Round on October 14, along with my opinions about them. The O-Metrix Grading System is applied where possible. (Part I of 7 Buy And 3 Sell Ideas From Jim Cramer.)

Stock Name

Ticker

Cramer's Suggestion

O-Metrix Score

My Take

Dendreon

(DNDN)

Avoid

N/A

Avoid

Sanofi-Aventis

(SNY)

Buy

2.19

Hold

Xerox

(XRX)

Avoid

4.97

Buy

EMC Corp.

(EMC)

Buy

3.98

Buy

UnitedHealth

(UNH)

Avoid

6.91

Buy

Patriot Coal

(PCX)

Sell

N/A

Sell

(Data obtained from Finviz/Morningstar, and is current as of October 14 close. You can download the O-Metrix calculator here.)

Cramer is bearish on Dendreon (DNDN) as it is “too speculative,” and recommends Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) instead. Here is a brief comparison between these two stocks:

Current as of October 14 close.

Dendreon

Sanofi-Aventis

P/E ratio

-3.5

17.2

Forward P/E ratio

-7.6

8.5

Estimated EPS growth for the next 5 years

3.0%

1.9%

Dividend yield

-

3.73%

Profit margin

-

13.4%

Gross margin

40.6%

70.5%

Upside movement potential

70.3%

24.8%

Dendreon returned -74.3% in the last twelve months, while Sanofi-Aventis returned 0.7%. Dendreon is currently trading 77.82% lower than its 52-week high, and Sanofi-Aventis is trading 12.72% lower. Average analyst recommendation is 2.90 for Dendreon, and 1.60 for Sanofi-Aventis (1=Buy, 5=Sell). Sanofi is obviously safer than Dendreon, but I would wait until earnings confirm the growth expectations.

Rather than investing in Xerox (XRX), Cramer prefers EMC (EMC) instead. Here is a brief comparison between these two stocks:

Current as of October 14 close.

Xerox

EMC

P/E ratio

10.7

24.1

Forward P/E ratio

6.4

13.5

Estimated EPS growth for the next 5 years

6.0%

15.0%

Dividend yield

2.20%

-

Profit margin

4.5%

11.5%

Gross margin

34.5%

59.5%

Upside movement potential

52.6%

32.4%

Xerox is currently trading 34.86% lower than its 52-week high, while EMC is trading 19.63% lower. O-Metrix scores of Xerox and EMC are 4.79 and 3.98, respectively. Xerox returned -30.2% in a year, whereas EMC returned 9.4%. Both of them are nice buys for me.

They [UnitedHealth] (UNH) ended up with accounting problems and it was bad. I don't recommend that group with this President.

The Minnesota-based UnitedHealth, as of Friday’s close, was trading at a P/E ratio of 10.6, and a forward P/E ratio of 9.9. Five-year annualized EPS growth forecast is 12.8%. It offers a 1.38% dividend, while the profit margin is 5.0%.

Target price is $57.90, which implies a 22.6% upside potential. The stock is trading 11.44% lower than its 52-week high, whereas it has an O-Metrix score of 6.91. UnitedHealth returned 31.2% in the last twelve months. SMA50 and SMA200 are 2.41% and 3.01%, respectively. Institutions hold 87.53% of the shares, while it has a four-star rating from Morningstar. Beta value is 0.93. ROE is 18.90%, whereas PEG value is 0.8. Consider adding this stock to your portfolio.

Patriot Coal (PCX): Cramer recommends homegamers wait for a “rally, and get out.” It shows a trailing P/E ratio of -14.9, and a forward P/E ratio of 10.5, as of the October 14 close. Analysts estimate a 5.0% annual EPS growth for the next five years. It pays no dividend, while the profit margin is -3.0%.

The company is currently trading 62.91% lower than its 52-week high, whereas it returned -18.4% in a year. Target price is $22.17, implying a 104.7% upside movement potential. Patriot Coal has an awful Beta value of 2.96, and earnings decreased by 135.47% this year. SMA50 and SMA200 are -11.75% and -47.53%, respectively. Gross margin and operating margin are 8.9% and 0.1%, respectively. The debt-to assets ratio is increasing since 2007, whereas cash flow is struggling. While ROA is -1.72%, ROE is -7.43%. ROI is -4.92%. Selling is the best strategy.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.