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Four companies are poised to become the candidate for the government's largest ever telecommunications contract, Networks Universal, and Cramer believes this contract is significant if it will "move the needle." He comments T and VZ are already so large that even though the deal will mean $68 billion over the next 10 years, it shouldn't move these stocks more than 50 or 60 cents upward. Sprint would be a likely candidate, but although the company reported a good quarter, things look less rosy for Motorola, Sprint's supplier. This leaves Qwest; "I think you'll see a gigantic move, as the permanence of Q is no longer in doubt," said Cramer. Even if Q doesn't get the deal, it is in the "fast-growing part of the country" and may be a takeover target. Cramer would do a mon' back!
Water the Odds? Pico Holdings (NASDAQ:PICO)
A student at the University of Texas gave Cramer the idea to look at water stocks, and while he is not hitting the bull button yet, Cramer suggests doing homework on PICO, a small speculative play. While Cramer is not thrilled with the water utility market, he likes the fact that PICO sells its water at a premium and has a 35 mile water pipeline under construction. While only one analyst is covering the stock, but Cramer says, "Water is becoming too hot for it to stay under the radar." He urges investors who have done their homework to use limit orders when buying PICO.
Although Cramer has been bullish on BBI, he was essentially bullish on CEO John Antioco, and would sell the stock on the announcement of Antioco's departure, because "he was the one who gave us our double in the stock" and "exceeded handily" his promises. Although some are critical of Antioco's long-term performance, Cramer pointed out that he saved BBI from Netflix, and he would take gains in the stock now. Cramer notes GSIC is up 28% since his December recommendation, and he would do a schnitzel (sell the gains) on its large increase. Cramer then discussed the "unbelievable Barnum and Bailey stuff" that occurred when some "joker" of an analyst suggested buying Nokia after Motorola cut guidance. "What's bad for MOT is going to be bad for NOK," said Cramer, because MOK's problem is an indication of an industry-wide problem.
Related: William Trent sees Motorola's warning as an unmitigated disaster.
CEO Interview: Angelo Mozilo, Countrywide Financial (CFC)
When Cramer asked why CFC stopped giving out "bad loans" at a time everyone was doing it, Angelo Mozilo said he was talking about problems with loan quality and margins at New Century and Ameriquest a year ago. The companies had a bad business model, Mozilo continued, stating there will be consequences for minority and first-time prospective homeowners because of disappearing liquidity, and this trend will impact the housing market. However, he added the subprime mess has cleared the field of many of CFC's competitors, and the company will be in a dominant position at the end of this painful subprime ride. Cramer commented its time to pick up survivors like CFC ahead of a Fed rate cut in May. Cramer aimed to reassure viewers about Muzilo's stock-selling; "He's an older fellow... It's time for him to do a little insider selling... and I would start doing some outsider buying!"
Related: Greg Newton comments that Angelo Mozilo is "dumping shares."
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