Nicolas, have I got a surprise for you!
Can you just visualize the look on the face of Nicolas Sarkozy when George Papendreou explains his actions as a fait accompli. The Greek Prime Minister can not back down now that he has made an announcement to hold a referendum, as it would look as though he was weak and capitulated under the pressure from his European masters.
There is an emergency dinner date being held on the eve of the G20 meeting between the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, the head of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy and the Greek Prime Minister George Papendreou.
They should be selling tickets for this dinner date despite the harsh words that may be bandied between them, it could be be quite comical.
A fait accompli can be described as something that has already happened and therefore is unlikely to be reversed. So they are more or less saddled with it.
In a recent article we entitled: Do You Trust The Eurocrats To Deliver? We wrote:
Now ask yourself, do you trust these Eurocrats to deliver, of course not. They have well and truly blown it and the fallout will effect every citizen in the Eurozone via increased taxation, reduced benefits, regulatory controls, the continued debasement of the euro, etc.
Well, as we can now see they couldn't have made more of a pigs ear out this as the financial markets have been thrown into turmoil. We have just witnessed multi-billion banks gain up to 20% in one day, on the good news of the 'deal' and fall apart again on the news of a referendum as the Greek tail wags the euro dog. Also bear in mind that Greece is only a tiny part of the eurozone and there are other larger nations that are also in trouble. (Keep an eye on the bond yields for Italy as they are under considerable pressure.) One dreads to think about how these buffoons will handle the larger issues. One suggestion has been to persuade the Chinese to lend into this 'deal'. This may well come to pass, but at what cost? The Chinese will be seeking to get the eurocrats off their back regarding the 'pegged' nature of their currency, the Renminbi, for starters. On the political front, they may also push for an easing of pressure regarding Tibet: Bye Bye, Dalai lama. A capital injection may go one way, but favors will need to go other way.
Now, take a look at this caption spotted on BNN earlier today:
How right he is. Such political bungling beggars belief.
So what does this all mean for us?
Nothing has improved, in fact the economic situation disintegrates on a daily basis, aided by our political masters. With or without the Chinese funding, sooner or later the printing press will swing into action, producing euros at an unimaginable rate. The debasement of this currency will once again cause investors and indeed ordinary people to look for an alternative form of preserving their wealth. Each will have their own unique 'take' on where the value lies. Our very humble opinion, for what it is worth, is to turn to the precious metals sector. Physical gold and silver will be the outright winners in this war of the currencies. We also retain a core position of the associated stocks, although as we have pointed out many times, they are not without their own inherent risks. Finally, when the set-up is right, we will sally forth with the occasional options trade, which is also a rather risky vehicle to adopt in these times, however, they have paid off handsomely for us.
Stay on your toes and have a good one.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.