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What in the world is going on in Greece?

I don't know. I can't tell. At first it looked like Greece was on the cusp of accepting the EU's hammered-out proposal which included banks taking a 50% haircut on Greek bonds among other concessions. Then, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou announced he would put the proposal to a referendum vote in Greece. I thought that was pretty neat, considering the anger, frustration and total lack of a voice the average Greek has in eurozone decisions.

There's been a whole lot of big decisions made on behalf of Greek citizens over the past couple years, and many of them occurred without consent or consideration to how those citizens might feel about it. So, putting the EU proposal up for a vote seemed almost quaintly and strangely democratic. And then... Papandreou reversed course. The EU proposal will not be up for a referendum vote.

And now, the EU proposal has been pushed down the road another few weeks at least. Papandreou seems like he might be getting the boot. And who knows what the immediate result will be.

As I said, I can't tell what's going on in Greece, or even in the eurozone as a whole. What I can tell, and I can say this with about as much confidence as possible, is that Greece will exit the eurozone. Also, the euro itself is on the way out as a currency. I'm not saying it will happen soon. But it will happen. And it will happen because the entire idea of the euro is unsustainable on the face of it.

To put the euro experiment into perspective: The euro is the equivalent of having a checking account shared among a 19 different people. Anyone of these 19 people can access the funds with their own personal debit card at any time. Some people make deposits. Some people make withdrawals. And while there are "rules" about how much can be taken out by any single person at any time, these rules are ultimately unenforceable - because there are zero repercussions for breaking them.

That's pretty much how the eurozone operates. It's basically one big prisoner's dilemma, wherein the best possible outcome for any single operator is to completely defraud and abuse the other members by acting irresponsibly with the euro-account.

Cooperation is not as profitable as fraud. In Greece's case, cooperating is making it extremely unpleasant to be a Greek citizen. It's in their best interests to leave the eurozone - even though many Greek's might not realize it.

Eventually, Greece will leave and it will be followed by Portugal, Spain and Italy. These countries simply can't act responsibly when they have the same debit card as Germany and Finland. These countries can't prosper when a Spanish laborer has to compete with a German laborer for the same paycheck. And when something can't go on, it eventually stops.

I think we'll see Greece out of the EU within the next 18 months. I think we'll see the total failure of the euro within 6-10 years. And when all of those people leave the euro, they'll be fed up with fake money systems. Many of them will seek out gold and silver.

Disclosure: None

Source: Why Greece Will Leave The Euro