Precious Metals Pullbacks In Perspective

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Includes: DGL, GLD, IAU, SLV
by: Jeff Clark

If you're bullish about the long term for gold and silver, it's mouthwatering to watch them undergo a major correction after taking earlier profits that added to your deployable cash. For a little historical perspective on pullbacks, consider the following charts (click to enlarge images):

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

The current 15.6% gold decline, while considered a "major" correction, is not out of the ordinary, particularly following the late summer spike. And after each big selloff, there was a price consolidation phase that in every instance led to higher prices. The message: hold on, and buy the big dips.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

Not surprisingly, silver's biggest corrections are larger than gold's. This is also true for the rebounds; they've been quite dramatic. If we apply the biggest three-month recovery of 44.3% to the current correction, that would take silver to $40.63… meaning we probably shouldn't expect $60 silver by year-end.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.