3 Bargain Stocks Depressed By Japan's Bad Luck

 |  Includes: CAJ, MTU, TM
by: MyPlanIQ

Japan is the world's second-largest economy, but has been struggling of late. Japan is also difficult to penetrate in the sense that their culture remains distinct from the West, and stock ownership is not the same as in other developed countries.

On top of this, the country has been rocked by the tsunami and nuclear power plant disaster, which has put futher strain on the economy. However, when considering it in the light of Europe, it may be worth considering investments in Japan as diversification from the US.

David Sterman, writing for Street Authority, recommended three stocks, and I decided to evaluate their performance as part of an equity portfolio to determine whether it might be time to consider Japanese companies.

  • Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (NYSE:MTU), The largest bank, which has been under pressure but is generating solid earnings.
  • Toyota Motor (NYSE:TM) the world's largest automaker, which has seen its reputation tarnished but is still a leader in automotive thinking and technology.
  • Canon (NYSE:CAJ), which is right behind HP in printers and has strong camera and copier brands.

So we will take these three equities and compare them against our reference dividend-bearing ETF portfolio.

Asset Fund In This Portfolio
REAL ESTATE ICF (iShares Cohen & Steers Realty Majors)
FIXED INCOME TIP (iShares Barclays TIPS Bond)
Emerging Market VWO (Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock ETF)
US EQUITY DVY (iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index)
US EQUITY VIG (Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF)
INTERNATIONAL EQUITY IDV (iShares Dow Jones Intl Select Div Idx)
High-Yield Bond HYG (iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bd)
INTERNATIONAL BONDS EMB (iShares JPMorgan USD Emerg Markets Bond)
Click to enlarge

Portfolio Performance Comparison

Portfolio/Fund Name 1-Year AR 1-Year Sharpe 3-Year AR 3-Year Sharpe 5-Year AR 5-Year Sharpe
Retirement Income ETFs Tactical Asset Allocation Moderate 1% 7% 9% 76% 7% 54%
Retirement Income ETFs Strategic Asset Allocation Moderate 0% 0% 15% 87% 2% 6%
3 Bargain Japanese Stocks to Consider -12% -50% 7% 26% -11% -37%
Click to enlarge

The table tells its story of woe for just about all Japanese companies. If there is such a thing as bad luck, these equities seem to have had it in spades. Despite this, these companies are likely to be long term survivors are are in markets that are not going to go away any time soon.

Three Month Chart One Year Chart Three Year Chart Five Year Chart

The more detailed analysis and graphs give you a visual view of the volatility.

I don't think that these stocks are for the average retirement portfolio as it is hard to know when there will be light at the end of the Japanese tunnel, and there are other companies that offer dividends that are likely to be a better bet. However, these are strong companies and worth watching to see when the upswing come, rather than asking if it will ever come.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Disclaimer: MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.