The topic of whether stem-cell therapies are overhyped - OK, let me show my cards, the topic of just how overhyped they are - last came up around here in November, when Geron (GERN) announced that they were getting out of the business. And Tuesday had a good example of why people tend to hold their noses and fan away the fumes whenever a company press-releases something in this area.
I'm talking about Osiris Therapeutics (OSIR), who have been working for some time on a possible stem cell therapy (called Prochymal) for Type I diabetes. That's certainly not a crazy idea, although it is an ambitious one - after all, you get Type I when your insulin-producing cells die off, so why not replace them? Mind you, we're not quite sure why your insulin-producing cells die off in the first place, so there's room to wonder if the newly grown replacements, if they could be induced to exist, might not suffer a similar fate. But that's medical research, and we're not going to figure these things out without trying them.
This latest work, though, does not look fit to advance anyone's understanding of diabetes or of stem cells, although it might help advance one's understanding of human nature and of the less attractive parts of the stock market. Osiris, you see, issued a press release Tuesday (courtesy of FierceBiotech) on the one-year interim analysis of their trial. The short form: they have nothing so far. The release goes on for a bit about how well-tolerated the stem-cell therapy is, but unfortunately, one reason for that clean profile might be that nothing is happening at all. No disease markers for diabetes have improved, although they say that there is a trend towards fewer hypoglycemic events. (I think it's irresponsible to talk about "trends" of this sort in a press release, but such a policy would leave many companies without much to talk about at all.)
It's only when you look at Osiris and their history that you really start to understand what's going on. You see, this isn't Prochymal's first spin around the track. As Adam Feuerstein has been chronicling, the company has tried this stem cell preparation against a number of other conditions, and it's basically shown the same thing every time: no adverse effects, and no real positive ones, either. Graft-versus-host disease, cardiac events, cartilage repair, Crohn's disease - nothing happens, except press releases. You'd never know anything about this history if you just came across the latest one, though. The company's web site isn't a lot of help, either: you'd think that Prochymal is advancing on all fronts, when (from what I can see) it's not going much of anywhere.
So if you're looking for a reason to hold on to your wallet when the phrase "stem cell therapy" comes up, look no further. The thing is, some stem cell ideas are eventually going to work - you'd think - and when they do, they're going to be very interesting indeed. You'd think. But are any of the real successes going to come out of fishing expeditions like this? You don't want your clinical research program to be so hard to distinguish from a dose-and-hope-and-sell-some-stock strategy - do you?