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Excerpt from Raymond James strategist Jeffrey Saut's latest essay:

In such an environment, where we can’t decide if the economy is slowing into recession, slowing to a muddle, or reaccelerating (although recent figures have a decided slowing tint), we have tried to focus on themes, and special situations, that make sense to us. Energy is one such theme, for while the U.S. seems to be slowing economically, the rest of the world is not, as demonstrated by China’s roughly 13% increase in crude oil demand. To take advantage of that demand, we have recommended most of the Canadian oil sands complex, which had a fairly big rally last week. This is particularly impressive in light of the Canadian Dollar’s recent strength (we remain bullish on the Canadian Dollar). We have also recommended a number of energy names that presented at the Raymond James Institutional Conference in March. Accordingly, ideas like Petrohawk (HK) [Strong Buy], Kodiak (KOG) [Strong Buy], 6.7%-yielding NGP Resources (NGPC) [Outperform], and Helix (HLX) [Strong Buy] have performed well over the last few months. Yet for non-stock-specific investors, our recommendation of the 5%-yielding Blackrock Global Energy (BGR) ETF has been a risk-adjusted way to participate in the energy theme, whose shares broke out to the upside in the charts last week. We have also embraced non-economic-sensitive themes like homeland security using L-1 Identity Solutions (ID) [Strong Buy], which recently received a large contact. Then too is our non-economic-sensitive “water theme.” While the non-stock-specific investor may want to consider the Water PowerShares (PHO), our Canadian-based analysts have been recommending Laperrier & Verreault [TSE: GLV.A] (Outperform) as a way to participate in the water theme.

Jeffrey Saut

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This article has 1 comment:

  •  
    Jun 06 09:02 AM
    I spoke with my power company about building coal to oil(C-T-O) plants. First one in Appalaciah near the coal reserves, If that C-T-O plant hit it off build in or near the Green River Basin. They did listen to my suggestion but then declined to resume talks. Seems everyone wants the USA to be non-oil dependant, but no body wants to play the game. This includes our government, who wants to tax big oil on it's profits, not thank them and give them tax incentives to search for new oil fields. Tax their profits; profits will fall, which means refining outputs will decrease. The USA should be like Russia or Iran, who have given their oil companies HUGE tax breaks to explore for oil even if it means removing a few carribou. Also building new refineries which we have not done since the 1960's
    or'70's. The oil wells that sit idle, start them up, start searching for oil off our coasts, start getting the oil from the shale rock, build C-T-O plants. We(USA) are the Saudia Arabia of coal. Don't get me started on the global warming BS!!!

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