7 Highly Shorted Multilevel Marketing Stocks

Multilevel Marketing, Network Marketing, Direct Sales, Homebased Businesses, call it what you will, MLMs have been falling under the scrutiny of the Federal Trade Commission for years, to determine if they are pyramid or Ponzi schemes.

Short sellers even jumped on the bandwagon a few months ago, encouraging the FTC to adopt more restrictive rules for MLM companies. Some of these companies still have high short ratios and others have had a significant drop in their short interest over the past month. [By the way, a good site to check the short interest on a stock is ShortSqueeze.com.]

MLM companies operate by recruiting salespeople to sell a product and provide additional commissions based on the sales of people that are recruited into their downline. This includes direct recruits, and their recruits' recruits. There can be as many as seven to ten levels downline.

Here is a list of some of the major publicly traded MLMs, along with information about their short interest. Days to Cover, also known as the Short Ratio, is basically the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their positions based on the average daily trading volume:

Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) This Los Angeles based company markets weight management, nutritional supplement, and personal care products in 63 countries throughout the world, through its MLM sales reps. Its price earnings ratio is 21, its PEG ratio is .81, and it pays a small yield of .5%. The Short Ratio (days to cover) is .8, and the increase in shares shorted for the current month's short interest is up .38% compared to the previous month's short interest.

Avon Products Inc. (AVP) This New York based company markets cosmetics, fragrances, skin care, and toiletries, along with various other products. A few days ago it reported that its first-quarter profits nearly tripled. It has a P/E is 39, with a forward P/E of 20. Its PEG is 2.1, and the company pays a yield of 1.9%. The short interest ratio is 2.2, and the short interest has dropped 4.5%.

Pre-Paid Legal Services Inc. (PPD) This Oklahoma company markets legal expense plan memberships throughout the United States and Canada. Its P/E is 16, and has a P/S of 1.7. The short ratio is 6.5 days, and the short interest has dropped 37.5%.

Tupperware Brands Corporation (TUP) This Orlando, Florida based company markets kitchen products, cosmetics and personal care products. Its P/E is 17.6, and it has a PEG of 1.55. It offers a fairly high yield of 3.1%. Its sales ratio is 13, and the short interest has dropped 30%.

Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. (NUS) This Provo, Utah based company markets personal care products and nutritional supplements. It has a P/E of 38, a PEG of 1.3, and a decent yield of 2.6%. Its short ratio is 9.8 days, and the short interest has dropped 3.5%.

USANA Health Sciences Inc. (USNA) This Salt Lake City based company markets vitamins, minerals, skin products and personal care products. It has a P/E of 16.8, and a PEG of .87. A class action lawsuit was filed against the company last week. The short ratio is 5.4, and it had a 178% increase in shares shorted of the current month's short interest compared to the previous month's short interest.

Mannatech Inc. (MTEX) This Texas based company markets nutritional supplements, skin care products, and weight-management products. The company's P/E is 12, its PEG is .6, and it has a decent yield of 2.5%. The short ratio is a pretty high 21.6 and the short interest went up 4.2%. It just reported a 17% increase in quarterly earnings.

Disclosure: The author does not own any of the above.

Comments

[omooc:]

Excellent. Your providing a link to shortsqueeze.com is very much appreciated. omooc

2007 May 07 08:37 AM

[terrihamel1:]

USANA: re: Class Action Lawsuit applied

If you're not aware of the recent 'controversy' surrounding USANA Health Sciences, you've been missing an interesting series of articles. I am writing here as someone who has been taking the products for nearly a decade, so I'm not unbiased. I've recovered my costs in marketing USANA vitamins to friends and family, but have yet to make a serious stab at the business. I don't know if having consumed their products is supposed to disqualify me from making comments or asking questions, but I'm going to take a stab at it anyway. In spite of the fact that I'm not a stock analyst, self-proclaimed or otherwise, I'd like to share my perspective from an 'inside' point of view. I'll keep it simple, so even the most intelligent can grasp it. Don't look for technical brilliance, but I think it's a story worth hearing.

I'm a teacher. If you know anything about schools, they're germ factories. For a variety of reasons, genetic and otherwise, I've never had a strong constitution. Plainly put, I used to catch everything the kids brought into the building, and then some. One day I was visiting my older sister, and noticed a product catalog for a nutritional supplementation company sitting on her coffee table. Everything in it was footnoted and referenced back to long-term, placebo-controlled, double-blind studies published in mainstream medical journals. Having completed six years of university, I was curious, and asked her about it. She told me flat out that the people next door, who had left her the catalog, were pushing a pyramid scheme. I nodded knowingly, having no idea what that was supposed to be, waited until they left the house, hightailed it over to the neighbors' place and banged on the door.

They were happy to see me (you probably guessed that already). I sat down with them for over an hour as they told me their story. Their daughter had been suffering from a certain health problem that traditional medicine hadn't been able to help. Someone told them about the products. Their daughter took them and, over the course of several months, her health dramatically improved. Causation or correlation? I didn't care. What was there to lose? Not my health, that was for sure. There was one catch, however. These people wouldn't sell me any product. They wanted me to sign up with them in their business.

Big mistake. I've since learned that this goes against on of the most important aspects of building a network marketing business, which is to have a solid base of preferred customers (these people were not following the company's compliance protocol: USANA is relentless in emphasizing the importance of bringing in loyal product users. I wanted the product badly enough, however, that I signed up with them to get my initial order. Once it arrived, I quit... but I had my vitamins).

Within a matter of weeks, taking the product religiously, I experienced a profound change in my health. Colds didn't seem to stick. I slept better and had more energy. Did taking the product cause, or merely correlate with, the changes in my health? Who cared? All I knew was that I wasn't getting sick all the time.

Then I ran out of vitamins. Not only did I run out but, before too long, I was catching colds again. Seriously. By this time, I'd twigged onto the fact that ordinary people could actually sell this stuff. Now I was curious about the whole enchilada. I somehow ended up in Vancouver, British Columbia at a marketing seminar led by one Michael Oliver (google away for more). I sat in the back of the room with a bucket of school assignments and starting grading them as he began to speak. Fifteen minutes later I put up my hand and told the group that I was putting the bucket away. I'm sure there were people in the room who thought I was a plant. The fact was that his seminar was complete devoid of hype. I'm proud to say that Michael Oliver eventually became a deeply respected friend, but that's another story.

Six months later, I chose a different person with whom to sign up. Any teacher can explain why I never did get around to building much of a business. Evenings and weekends were recovery time. I loved my job, as well as my students, but I simply didn't have time for anything else. Ironically, I now realize that, during those years of taking the product each month but doing little to sell it, I was one of thousands who were dragging down the company's distributor earnings ratio. You see, I qualified as an associate but, as far as USANA's computers knew, I might as well have been out there trying to build a business and failing miserably (if it was truly a pyramid scheme, I might have been raking in some money simply through my position on the totem pole). The truth was that I wasn't getting paid (much) because I wasn't doing the business (much).

Last year I moved from Canada to the United States, having met (at the 1999 USANA convention, of all places) and married the man who became my best friend, a wonderful American whose story closely parallels mine. I've recently been training with some of the most successful people in USANA (it's free, and available to all associates), and I'm planning on giving the business a serious go this time. But I'm under no illusions that anyone's going to do this for me. "If it's to be, it's up to me." (I understand that some people, having ignored USANA's Business Development System and tried to reinvent the wheel, haven't done so well and are now jumping on the lawsuit bandwagon).

One thing: I've yet to read a posting where one of your analysts, citing the allegations of Barry Minkow (a convicted felon, no less) has approached USANA's founder, Dr. Myron Wentz, for his response to such allegations as, for example, the alleged inaccuracies in product labeling. It's curious, given that Dr. Wentz's ongoing work continues to be published in mainstream medical journals, that your commentators are relying on the words of a convicted felon rather than going to the source and asking for documentation. That would require a bit more work, but don't you think it makes sense (particularly when you learn that USANA is affiliated with the Linus Pauling Institute, that Dr. Wentz just picked up the Albert Einstein award in Jerusalem, and that the company has garnered numerous other accolades of which they could rightfully boast)?

But then, I'm not a stock analyst. Nonetheless, I still think a teacher should be allowed to express an opinion. And stories are the backbone of life.

Terri

CatchingWaves@excite.c...

2007 Jun 29 07:05 PM