Rupert Murdoch and News Corporation (NWS) on a quest for Dow Jones. Rumors placing Thomson as a potential acquirer of Reuters. What is going on here?

On first blush, Murdoch's move is a quest for more, high quality content which can be pumped through his global distribution platform. He also has the marketing savvy, development budget and willingness to invest unlike the Bancroft family and Dow Jones. Thomson and Reuters, however, seems like a push for scale and a reach for share, assembling a market data behemoth of a magnitude similar to that of the market leader, Bloomberg. These are seemingly rational and straight-forward reasons for why these deals are in the offing. However, I posit that a much more powerful motivator is at play, and one which can turbocharge the vision and rationale behind these transactions:

Creation of a "smart pipe," a pipe that is full of high value, deftly targeted content, that is timely, relevant and insightful for its consumers, be they individuals, corporations or investors.

With this vision, it isn't simply the creation of ever-fatter pipes that further reinforce the signal/noise problem that is so prevalent in both online and offline media, but the leveraging of sophisticated models to extract valuable metadata, matching this metadata to customer-generated search queries and applying these models across an ever broader array of high-value content. This can also take in consumer-generated data like historical search queries, preferences, tags and consumer-identified relationships among entities and sources. Now this creates value beyond the commodity provision of market data, which is in an inexorable race-to-the-bottom on the basis of latency. This is a hardware and software arms race for which there will be winners and losers, but where there are already well-entrenched players and where the competitive advantage is in better execution models and technology. This is a tough game to play, and certainly not one for which Thomson or Reuters is especially well-positioned.

However, these firms have loads of valuable content just begging to be monetized. Begging to be indexed, organized, and accessible in an efficient, time-sensitive and targeted manner. This, to me, is the magic of a Thomson/Reuters link-up. Not that they will have 34% share in market data versus Bloomberg's 33%, but that their valuable archive of content will be sharply expanded and, hopefully, made available to their terminal subscribers in a smart way, ergo, my "smart pipe" metaphor. This is no mean feat either technologically or culturally, let me tell you. These are two siloed, old-line organizations that are trying to move forward quickly in an era of lightning-fast change. And this is hard. But if they get it right, the payoff could be handsome indeed for their investors and customers alike.

But the key to unlocking the ultimate value of this deal is in execution, a significant barrier to success that will require vision, breaking down traditional organizational barriers and taking the long view. If this deal gets done, hopefully they will be able to make it happen. Otherwise, they may go the way of Sony and Howard Stringer. In that case, buyer beware!

Roger Ehrenberg

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