Microvision Moving Higher: Pure Speculation?

Includes: BA, MVIS
by: Ambient Insight

Leaving technical analysis and sound fundamentals aside, it is time for some unabridged speculation. Recently, shares of Microvision Inc. (NASDAQ:MVIS) continue to move higher on improvements and contract agreements.

While I enjoy the fact that MVIS's technology is light years ahead of the competition, I am more interested with these non-disclosure contracts. As of late, MVIS seems to be completely awashed in them. The real questions are what is their importance and how can they benefit ME as a shareholder?

Microvision S.I.D conferance 2007

While these contracts don't directly effect the bottom line, they give continual support and credibility to MVIS's technology. As a shareholder invested fully in a micro cap company (MVIS), its quite soothing to have the companionship of a larger player(s).

In November of 2006, it was cute to read about how a major major teir 1 automanufacturer has come on board to develop Heads Up Displays with MVIS. It was nice after the major Asian customer electronics manufacture contract was announced.

Well, now its May 2007 and we have not one, but two tier 1s, two major customer electronic manufacturers and a complete wild card commercial transportation contract to develop MVIS technology for aerospace applications!

I am sorry, but cute and nice do not give true respect to the gravity of these contracts. One word comes to mind - sexy! The fact that all of these inevitably larger companies find keen interest in MVIS's technology makes me all the more secure with my position. The latest aerospace contract is the one that intrigues me most. There aren't many players in this arena and one of Boeing Co.'s (NYSE:BA) world headquarters happens to be located some 30 miles away from MVIS's campus. I am not saying anything . . . but what if?

Benefit to Shareholders
Odiously the continual signing of these contracts has boosted the share price some 200% since late last year, but I believe updates from these existing contracts could provide further price movement aside from the much anticipated OEM contract. By updates, I am specifically referring to the eventual disclosure of the players involved.

Okay, Simms

Non-disclosure contracts are signed for many reasons. Simply put, companies don't want their respective names released for competitive and credibility reasons. Companies such as Sony don't want to disclose at the time of signing because the technology and the potential for commercial viability is in the infancy stages. Why tarnish Sony's good name and damage potential brand equity by partnering up with bunk technology? After a lengthy call to investor relations, I came to the conclusion that non-disclosure contracts eventually disclose when the time is right. This was made evident by Visteon Corp.'s (NYSE:VC) disclosure some four months after the contract was initially signed.

Going forward, I believe that we could see disclosure of MVIS's PicoP partners. Depending on the clout of these companies, the share price will respond accordingly. For longs, let's hope they go big.

MVIS 1-yr chart: