Oil Companies That Haven't (Yet) Capitalized on MLPs - Barron's

Includes: FST, KMP, PXD, TYG
by: SA Eli Hoffmann

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The New Math of Oil and Gas by Dimitra Defotis

Summary: A Master Limited Partnership [MLP] combines the tax benefits of a limited partnership (corporate tax avoidance) with the liquidity of a publicly-traded company. They are limited by the U.S. government to natural resource companies and some real estate enterprises. MLPs pay investors through mandatory dividends called quarterly required distributions [QRD]; failing to pay QRDs can cause a company to go into default. Over the past five years, the Alerian MLP index is up 100% vs. just 40% for the DJIA (see chart). In the past year, MLPs have yielded 6% while shares are up another 30%. Most MLPs are pipeline companies, but E&P (exploration MLP 10 06 2007and production) companies are starting to get into the act. Barron's likes smaller E&Ps that could benefit handsomely by spinning off some of their assets into MLPs:

  • Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE:FST) -- its daily energy production carries a $60,000/barrel value, vs. an average $200,000/barrel for MLP entities. Shares could rise 20% if it sells West Texas assets into an MLP, and analysts have pegged it for 15% 2008 earnings growth before any partnerships.
  • Pioneer Natural Resources Company (NYSE:PXD) -- it may spin up to $500M of its $6.2B value into MLPs in the coming year. A Friedman, Billings, Ramsey analyst says up to 90% of its assets are ideal MLP candidates. They see Pioneer's earnings up 18% in 2008, and 40% share appreciation with the potential partnerships.
  • Kinder Morgan Energy Partners L.P. (NYSE:KMP) -- already existing MLP with a $12B market cap and 6% yield. Its fee-based service revenues make it more reliable should oil prices fall.
Investors may also consider broad MLP funds like Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp. (NYSE:TYG), which yields 5%, and outpaced the Alerian index over the past year.

Related Links: Wikipedia on Master Limited PartnershipsPioneer Drilling: At Leading Edge of Capital ManagementGoodbye Kinder MorganBarron's: Oil Guru Art Smith's Picks for 2007

Alerian MLP Index vs. Dow Jones Industrial Average 5-yr
AMZ vs DJIA 9 6 07