Stocks Trading Below Their Graham Number - February 2016

|
Includes: C, COF, FITB, LM, LNC, MET, STI, STWD, UNM, WRK
by: Benjamin Clark

Summary

All of these companies are rated as suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor following the ModernGraham approach.

All are found to be significantly undervalued according to the ModernGraham valuation model.

The companies are found to be trading the most below their Graham Number out of all undervalued companies which qualify for the Intelligent Investor.

Click to enlarge

One popular approach to investing based on Benjamin Graham's methods is to use the so-called "Graham Number." There are some important differences between the Graham Number and the Graham Formula, but using the Graham Number is definitely useful even if the investor only uses it as a screening tactic.

I've selected the best companies reviewed by ModernGraham which trade below their Graham Number. The companies selected all are found suitable for the Defensive Investor and/or the Enterprising Investor, and have been valued as undervalued based on the ModernGraham valuation model. Further, the overall screen found 50 companies meeting these criteria, and the full list can be found near the end of this article; however, to cut down on the length of the post, I've selected the ten which trade furthest below their Graham Number.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor is also suitable for Enterprising Investors.

These companies have demonstrated strong financial positions through passing the rigorous requirements of the ModernGraham Investor and show potential for capital growth based on their current price in relation to intrinsic value. As such, these Graham number stocks may be a great investment if they prove to be suitable for your portfolio after your own additional research.

It should be noted that I only recently began tracking Graham Number data, though I do have the data for over half of the ModernGraham universe.

Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C)

Citigroup Inc qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth or stability over the last ten years along with the inconsistent dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from a loss of $6.47 in 2011 to an estimated gain of $3.81 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 2.66% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE:LNC)

Lincoln National Corp qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.80 in 2011 to an estimated $4.65 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.59% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Metlife Inc (NYSE:MET)

MetLife Inc qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth or stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $3.02 in 2011 to an estimated $4.26 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.60% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Unum Group (NYSE:UNM)

Unum Group qualifies for either the Enterprising Investor or the more conservative Defensive Investor. In fact, the company passes all of the requirements of both investor types, a rare accomplishment indicative of the company's strong financial condition.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.89 in 2011 to an estimated $2.72 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 2.47% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE:COF)

Capital One Financial Corp qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years along with the inconsistent dividend record. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $5.15 in 2012 to an estimated $7.17 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.28% annual earnings loss over the next 7-10 years.

Legg Mason Inc (NYSE:LM)

Legg Mason Inc qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings growth or stability over the last ten years along with the high PEmg ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only initially concerned by the insufficient earnings stability over the last five years.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from a loss of $0.53 in 2012 to an estimated gain of $1.68 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 7.54% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

WestRock Co (NYSE:WRK)

WestRock Co qualifies for both the Enterprising Investor and the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is only concerned by the low current ratio while the Enterprising Investor's only initial concern is the level of debt relative to the net current assets.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.97 in 2012 to an estimated $3.28 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.64% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

SunTrust Banks, Inc. (NYSE:STI)

SunTrust Banks Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.06 in 2011 to an estimated $3.05 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 2.83% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB)

Fifth Third Bancorp qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.31 in 2011 to an estimated $1.68 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.59% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (NYSE:STWD)

Starwood Property Trust Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor has concerns regarding the company's short history as a publicly traded entity while the Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.75 in 2011 to an estimated $1.97 for 2015. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.91% annual earnings growth over the next 7-10 years.

Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.