BHP Billiton (BHP) and Rio Tinto (RTP) have reportedly been in discussions with Alcan about a possible takeover and allegedly received access to its data room.
While it appears that Alcan has no interest in talking with Alcoa, Gimme Credit’s Carol Levenson said this is likely 90% posturing. However, the negative tone in letters published by Alcoa between CEOs of both companies, suggests a friendly deal is even more unlikely, the analyst said in a note. Therefore, a higher, all cash deal looks more probable.
Ms. Levenson thinks it is unlikely that Alcan will go quietly and will probably try to remain independent through “some ‘self-help’ leveraging action.” This “would reward shareholders and make it less attractive to a foreign buyer,” she said, adding that any counteroffer is likely to be funded primarily or entirely with cash.