Raptor’s key product addresses the 10 Gigabit Ethernet Switch market, which will have sales of approximately $1.8 billion in 2007 and is estimated by industry experts to be growing at a 38% annual rate. Further, its technology has been validated by such blue chip customers and partners as Nortel (NT), General Dynamics (GD), Lockheed Martin (LMT), University of Southern California, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, LA Care and Optical Entertainment Networks; that process includes completing certification testing by the Defense Information Systems Agency.
The advantages of RPTN’s switches are that they:
are 2-3 times cheaper than current products available to build out or upgrade legacy networks, transport data across any network including those encompassing significant geographic dispersion 10-100 times faster than the current core switching configurations, eliminate the transmission delays characteristic of high band width applications (e.g. the delays experienced in very long distance telephone calls; the ‘buffering’ that occurs during video downloads on the Internet), improve the network’s redundancy--all Raptor switches must fail to the bring the network down versus only the core switch in a legacy system, are fully compatible with existing network products--they can be simply added on to improve capacity and/or efficiency; nothing needs to be scraped, eliminate the threat of hacking into the network between switches, utilizes 1/5th the power of traditional alternatives.
Despite the progress the company has made technologically, the financial risks are extraordinary. RPTN was originally funded by private investors versus (more well heeled) venture capital sources and continued its funding through two private investment in a public entity [PIPE]. It has yet to receive conventional institutional funding. At present, annual revenues are less than $1 million and operating losses are substantial. The company believes that given the market’s reception of its product, its clear technological and economical superiority that it will soon achieve dramatic revenue and earnings growth.
However, this is the earliest stage 10 Bagger on which we have written or made a bet. As such it is the riskiest and should be treated accordingly. It is only for those investors with the highest risk tolerance and even then any position should be small relative to a normal sized holding.
Disclosure: Author has a long position in RPTN.OB
RPTN 1-yr chart