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The stock price for China Natural Gas (CHNG) appears about to break out for valid reasons. Energy, and especially clean energy, is critical to China. Clean natural gas and compressed natural gas is being mandated by the PRC and local governments. China Natural Gas has a head start in the mid and down stream segment of this important source of energy- natural gas.

Most Chinese regional stocks, including CHNG, have withstood recent negative media on China, a long run that is strengthening the government's intervention to contain the booming economy. More specific to CHNG, the PRC has also added tax incentives for use of clean energy. Solving pollution problems is critical to China's survival. Now that natural gas is a competitive energy source, the outlook is blooming.

CHNG's ability to take advantage of the favorable situations has resulted in more than doubling of revenues and income for several years. Major commitments to LPN facilities for the future will further diversify the company products. Their regional natural gas pipeline and strong management keeps them competitive and less exposed to newly available foreign money. The overall Chinese markets have locals lined up to buy stocks and foreigners adding venture money for growth. TA analysis is supportive of these great fundamentals.

Now, one can expect the added trade volume to be supportive as the stock is bumping against all time highs. Management's recent guidance for additional filling stations, expanding into virgin territories. Their likely listing on a major U.S. exchange and a robust '07 and '08 outlook is more than just strong support at these latest price levels. The strong stable management has a good record of meeting its past optimistic commitments. I have followed the Chinese market for years and have averaged up my holdings of CHNG.

CHNG 1-yr chart:

chng

Disclosure: The author has a position in CHNG.

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  •  
    Update of stock move- A few days ago CHNG dropped from over 8.4 to about 5.87 & closed Friday at 6.6. This type of move after about a 150% gain in a few weeks is not unusual for small Cap Chinese stocks. Most believe that the valuation will remain firm.
    2007 Aug 05 02:24 PM | Link | Reply
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    "Most believe that the valuation will remain firm."

    Who is "most"? The current shareholders?
    2007 Aug 05 07:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    yes- to China mart or maybe just many !
    2007 Aug 05 08:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "yes- to China mart or maybe just many ! "

    then "many" or "most" were very wrong.

    I still like SNEN here. They made .24/share in 2006, which is more than CHNG did.
    Best part about SNEN is that they have no need for this sort of dilution that CHNG is now faced with- SNEN has the cash they need to build the first 30 stations already.

    Good luck.
    2007 Aug 07 08:40 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Not sure who is right or wrong on valuation for either stock. You seem to be sure?
    2007 Aug 07 04:14 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    SNEN finally showing higher volume and stock appreciation @ day high of 2.75. CHNG languishing past week- close today of 5.85 with 6 as high.
    2007 Aug 10 07:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    How about this one.

    CHNG --- This must be some super great company. They have a private placement to raise $15 million and they priced the shares at about $4.00 each !!!!! That's about $2.00 BELOW the current market price. Then, the morons get in there and BUY the shares in the market and drive them up even further. Incredibly, $4.00 is all the company could get for their shares, but the morons feel they are worth not only ~ $6.00, but even more, because they bid them up even after SDTH announced its private placement. Thank God we have morons that buy stocks.
    2007 Aug 08 02:49 PM | Link | Reply
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    Some believe that market investing is the game of "greater fools!" Or one persons junk is another's gold? So you may be right about morons!
    2007 Aug 16 07:49 AM | Link | Reply
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    It may be too early to fully understand the details of the private palcement. From what was published it appears management did not get a good price or just did a lousy deal. The reaction to the placement wasn't too unusual if preceived to be a bad deal. I am surprised by the quick 2 day recovery to todays close of 6.18. That recovery was from a low of about 4.5? or about 36% from the low. Since I accumulated below 5$ I was pleased about the gain but not pleased that I don't have a grasp of what is occurring.
    2007 Aug 08 05:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Yes, the private placement of August pulled the stock down from near $7 to the mid $5s, But the news of a large expansion approved by the PRC on Sept. 27 pushed the stock to close @ $7.4. The expansion program is big and expands the product base and products available. With PRC support and a strong demand as well as a critical necessity (environment & cost advantages) for gas products, it is a win win period for CHNG. SNEN by association showed strength in line with (tracking ) it's peer CHNG. Since I may be one of few reading these comments I am closing out my CHNG follow-up comments on Seeking Alpha. It's comforting & profitable to stay with a great company. Good luck to the other longs.
    2007 Sep 28 08:16 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    With CHNG's high of $14.50 another comment seems justified- WOW!!!!!
    2007 Oct 16 08:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Thanks for all the info. I have been a big supporter of SNEN
    2007 Oct 17 06:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Thanks for all the info. I have been a big supporter of SNEN
    2007 Oct 17 06:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    value growth. Thanks for commenting. The most information I have posted on SNEN is on Agoracom site, since I am a forum leader there. To view:< place symbol SNEN in stock search button on top right of home page. Go to 'forum discussioin' & you'll find a lot on snen. I elected to do many comparison to CHNG as i believe they will "track" closely with CHNG, the more established, taking the lead. Anyone can comment as the more diverse group the better. Please take a look !
    2007 Oct 19 12:06 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    A long time has passed from my last comments- I was out of CHNG but back in today at $2.45.A lotg happened but mainly positive in top and bottom line each quaterf and todays Q reporft is more of the same. Chinese small caps have been swooning for over a yearf BUT CHNG moved out ot thepack the past month !. Some new products or markets arfe: adding gasoline at the NG filling statgions, new exclusive arfe to provide piped NG, and of courfse recernt start of the LNG plant deue for com pletion '09. So soon we will exceed/? have a 100 million annual revenue!!! With $.48 earnings we have ~ 5 PE- not bad. Chinese auto sales are still on a growth path so hopes for more revenue / station ande more statgions. In tghe fullness of time XXXXXX!!!os ualghng
    Mar 16 11:46 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    CHNG Vs snen on feb 1' 09 @ $ 3.51 Vs 1.90 and 5/12 @ $4.47 Vs 1.43 . Which you like the best?
    May 13 01:03 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Wow, what a little more time and major listing has done for this stock since the last comments - Peaked over $14 and now at about $12 is morfe than a double of price. The new LPN facilities is funded and near completion which will be another winner. The company is expanding it's exclusive territory and mostly support from the PRC. Their management knows how to work the Chinese growth and Gov. system to their advantage. Yes I will now buy a bit more in the near 11 range. If NG prices go up this will put pressure on PRC to again raise NG prices in China- damned that PRC (Gov.) price control. Yes China small caps are speculative vs American blue chips ? Risk reward game prevails.
    Sep 28 08:19 AM | Link | Reply
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    Some properly like to compare the price potential of SNEN to CHNG. Yeah there is no comparison of past results. CHNG running #1.
    Sep 28 08:34 AM | Link | Reply
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