Stocks discussed in the in-depth session of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money TV program, Thursday August 2. Click on a stock ticker for more analysis:
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Dow but not Out: JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), General Motors (NYSE:GM), Citigroup (NYSE:C), AIG (NYSE:AIG), Honeywell (NYSE:HON), DuPont (NYSE:DD) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ), AT&T (NYSE:T), Verizon (NYSE:VZ), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and Merck (NYSE:MRK)
After its mid-week drop, the Dow's rally on Thursday inspired Cramer to express confidence in the market and to repeat his prediction that the Dow will reach 14, 548 by the end of the year. He notes only four Dow stocks, JPM, GM, C and AIG are levered to current problems and only JPM and C are directly connected to mortgages. However, he commented HON, DD and HPQ have "beautiful" balance sheets and T, VZ, PFE and MRK will be able to survive the current market. Because of the strength of these stocks, the Dow wasn't crushed yesterday like it was "supposed to be," Cramer said.
The Windy City Merger: CME Group (NASDAQ:CME)
A good way to profit from the vicissitudes of the current market is to invest in CME, which Cramer recommends following its acquisition of the Chicago Board of Trade. Cramer likes the merger so much he thinks the Justice Department should never have allowed it to happen, since CME now has its "hands into everything" and can charge whatever it wants. While CME is trading at 30 x earnings, it is growing at a 20% clip this year, and its growth rate should reach 30% in 2008.
Related: Victor Cook covered the exchange wars between CME and Intercontinental Exchange over CBOT.
Since BWLD, BGC and MA got crushed after reporting better-than-expected quarters, Cramer explained "why bad things happen to good stocks." First, since all three had been rising rapidly, the bar was raised and "better-than-expected" just wasn't good enough for The Street. Second, there was a "hair" on each quarter, which is Wall Street jargon for a small flaw, or "hair" on a better-than-expected number. It was alleged that MA experienced domestic slowing, BWLD had slightly lower same-store sales and BGC had a downbeat outlook. However, Cramer said the main trick is knowing when to get rid of stock; "You can't count on me to tell you when to sell," he warned listeners, adding he can't always call a top. He said it is safe to sell the stocks now, since they are still high.
Related: Echo to All predicted MA might take a hit after its earnings report because of its high valuation.
CEO Interview: Gregory Milzcik Barnes Group (NYSE:B)
Gregory Milzcik says his company is in the "sweet spot" of the current cycle; "We focus on difficult-to-manufacture parts but are also positioned great on high-volume, high-growth platforms, like that of the 787." He adds analysts are not really disappointed with the company, but want to see sales and margin growth, which Barnes Group can deliver. The company has expanded into Europe's "booming" market. Cramer commented; "Let the downgrades come, and then I would buy some. This stock's just way too cheap when it gets down to $20."
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