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Two news items Wednesday caught my eye: first, that Microsoft had developed two new lines of Zune music players to compete with the iPod, and second, that Verizon was introducing a touch-screen phone made by LG in November to compete with the Apple's/ATT's iPhone. And while I admire the hard work of both companies, I"m afraid I have bad news for both: both products are doomed. Why? Because they are too much like the products they are trying to replace.

See, the problem with imitating a market leading product is that you give the prospect no reason to buy your product instead of the lower-perceived-risk dominant vendor. Said another way, marketing a me-too product, by its very nature, increases awareness of both the new product and the market leader. Unless the upstart company provides significant -- I repeat significant -- differentiating value to the buyer, the competitor ends up promoting the market leading product as well as their own. And since the market-leading product already has established its value proposition before the competitor showed up (if they hadn't, they wouldn't be the market leader), they are more likely to make the sale.

For example, take a look at Engadget's comparison chart between the new Zunes and the Apple iPods they compete with. The striking impression you get from the table is that the products are nearly identical, with similar list prices, capacities, form factors, and colors. With so many items in common, how can Microsoft claim that the Zune is so much better than an iPod? The anwser is that it can't, at least not in a simple and easy to understand way.

Verizon has more in its favor, since its network is itself a differentiating factor to its prospects. But I challenge any Verizon salesperson to successfully sell the new Voyager handset without uttering the words, "It's like an iPhone, but it has...." The product is just so derivative and similar, that comparisons will be irresistible to most ordinary people, and that comparison will just continue to validate the iPhone's lead, even if the LG device sells well.

Back in the olden days of computing, there was a mantra that said that to successfully compete with IBM (the market leader at the time), your product had to be 10 times better or you'd never get in the door. Today, too many companies are ignoring that mantra and trying to sell "just as good" instead. Regardless of how necessary it is for those companies to compete with the market leaders, me-too isn't good enough. To win, they have to be better -- lots better.

Full disclosure: the author owns Apple stock.

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This article has 26 comments:

  •  
    Samsung has made a killing in mobile devices by being a fast follower (to Motorola). The mass market doesn't care if it's too much like the original, they only care that it's similar and cheaper.
    2007 Oct 04 07:43 PM | Link | Reply
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    Verizon's network is 10 times better than At&T's (at least), and the only similarity I can see so far is the touch screen. Even if the phones were identical, the network being 10 times better would make the Voyager's features 10 times better. I read an article today where Verizon released the LG Chocolate's sales numbers and without exclusivity or a huge advertizing campaign (according to the article)the Chocolate undersold the I-Phone only by 150,000 per quarter. I beleive that the Voyager will outsell the apple by a margine of at least 2 to 1....
    2007 Oct 04 08:11 PM | Link | Reply
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    "Even if the phones were identical, the network being 10 times better would make the Voyager's features 10 times better
    Umm--no. 1) Verizon isn't GSM 2) the Verizon Phone won't have a CREDIBLE web browser. 3) The LG's have already shown that they are very feature-thin compared to the iPhone.

    "I beleive that the Voyager will outsell the apple by a margine of at least 2 to 1...." Bet ya they don't. Let's say US sales in the first quarter of '08 (assuming Verizon is putting these out within the next month).
    2007 Oct 04 10:37 PM | Link | Reply
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    This is a ridiculous comment full of hyperbole. What data do you have to say Verizon's network is 10 times better? And if the network's better, what about the actual LG phone reception? You don't know b/c it's not out yet.

    And as far as LG's sales, yes they had a huge advertising campaign (remember the "different flavor's of Chocolate"? Lord help me.). Plus, Apple has had just 1 quarter as their baseline, and it will increase. The Chocolate has been out > 1 yr. The iPhone is more expensive (and is MUCH more functional / desirable) and still beat out LG, so I'd say that's a VERY impressive start. The Voyager outselling the iPhone 2:1? Give me a break you frigtard.
    2007 Oct 04 10:37 PM | Link | Reply
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    I'm sorry you got stuck with the I-Phone on the AT&T network, and your right, it probably was frigtarded to suggest that the voyager would outsell the apple bt 2 to 1, I should have said more like 4 to 1.
    2007 Oct 05 09:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Stop the drugs, pal. You're just babbling right now.
    2007 Oct 06 09:00 AM | Link | Reply
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    Who cares if the new LG phone is a "me too" product ? As a Verizon customer there was zero chance of me breaking my contract to get an I-Phone. Now I may not have to and I can still get an I-Phone like phone and the LG will certainly be cheaper. I think AAPL made a HUGE mistake by forcing people to choose one carrier especially when cell phone contracts are so lengthy. VZ might make a killing on this by getting people to spend more per month for the web service.
    2007 Oct 04 09:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "Who cares if the new LG phone is a "me too" product ? As a Verizon customer there was zero chance of me breaking my contract to get an I-Phone" I have the same problem- my wife wants only Verizon. I despise Verizon; they cripple all their phones. My solution: get a free phone for calls ONLY and an iPod "touch" for everything else. Getting an LG is like getting a picture of a dog instead of a dog--it ain't the same thing.
    2007 Oct 04 10:40 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Dude did you READ the article. You MAKE Carl's point for him.
    You said, "Now I may not have to and I can still get an I-Phone like phone and the LG will certainly be cheaper."
    Did you just say you want an "iPhone like" phone?
    There will always be people who go for those fake Rolex watches and are sure no one can really tell the difference.

    P.S. the LG phone is so much like the iPhone that it is also reported to be the same price.

    "iPhone like" . . . . I'm on the floor laughing!
    2007 Oct 04 11:41 PM | Link | Reply
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    Good point about fake Rolex watches. We all get the joke when we see one. Let's face it, Verizon will do well with this product but they won't do "great." Nor will they ever compete with the iPhone. This phone will always be an also-ran and for some people that's fine. But without the iPhone, it wouldn't exist and we'd all still be wondering how Motorola tricked us into buying another RAZR.

    This LG is good news for Apple. Simple as that.
    2007 Oct 05 12:19 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "You can only be better than yourself" ... in other words: Verizon can only beat Verizon they can not beat Apple because they're not apple and Apple is not verizon therefore; they can not beat Verizon ... I'm pretty confident that Apple's focus was not to eliminate the competition when the iPhone came about but instead put a product on the market that offered something simply ... different and, good or bad, it did just that! When ever someone is threatened by another (usually because the other wants what the other has) they spend TOO MUCH TIME trying to "duplicate" something that WASN'T TRYING to be duplicated and in turn miss their own opportunity for greatness because their focus was trying to be something or someone that they were NEVER meant to be!!!! Bottom line if you want a iPhone go get one ... if you want a Voyager go get one ... and who cares about the rest ... IT'S YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY AFTER ALL!!!!!!!!! ... I know some of that was sort of Oprah/Dr, Phil(ish) sorry! Love, Live Life People!!!! :-)
    2007 Oct 05 01:34 PM | Link | Reply
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    One point you almost made. The LG phone doesn't even trouble to hide the fact that it's a rushed-to-market knockoff.

    And a point you didn't make. Sitting next to the iPhone, the LG is butt ugly.
    2007 Oct 05 06:39 PM | Link | Reply
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    Whats the problem with everybody trying to find something negative about the iphone?!? Remember it is Apples very first phone !!!
    Other phone companys have been arround for how many years and could not come up with something like Apple did ? Shame on them !
    And dont forgett if for some reason you might not like the iphone or ATT ... its a free country ! Nobody is forcing you to buy one !!!

    2007 Oct 05 08:14 PM | Link | Reply
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    I would have to agree with you. I am in the market for both an iPhone and iPod. Recently I have noticed that these new products are popping up. I took a look at them and concluded there was no added value that would pull me away from my original decision. Actually, they both apear to be attempts to match my original choices. I agree, if you are going to sway a potential buyer, you need to provide a little more amo other than just trying to copy the product that is setting the bar.
    2007 Oct 05 08:26 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Full smart phone.
    Best web browser available.
    Touch screen iPod with coverflow.
    Camera.
    Landscape mode for widescreen movies, coverflow, etc. which rotates with the phone.
    iTunes store available for downloads straight to the phone which syncs back to iTunes on your Mac or PC.
    Bluetooth and Edge networks swap automatically to the stronger of the 2 signals.

    Why carry a Smartphone / iPod / Camera / web browsing device with you when you can have 1 beautiful sleek device that does it all. (Ugh -- I need to work at an Apple store.)

    If you want a phone that looks like a bar of soap and has a screen half the size of iPhone, with a tenth of the capability, anyone is perfectly welcome to stay devout Verizon fans. Apple faithful knows the truth, and it's pointless to tell it to anyone that doesn't want to listen, but if you're reading this now, my point got across regardless. Thank you.
    2007 Oct 05 10:33 PM | Link | Reply
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    no shit the author has apple stock.

    funny how being 'better' never worked for Apple on the PC side.

    Apple isn't 'the market leader' in phones, they just get a lot press from dickwads like this with apple stock. That LG will sell tons of units.

    And zune, well, thats just about as retarded a name as is possible to invent.
    2007 Oct 06 02:35 AM | Link | Reply
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    " funny how being 'better' never worked for Apple on the PC side."

    You need to see "Triumph of the Nerds" (PBS). Also, read the US vs. MSFT DoJ judgement from about 2000. MSFT was never about PRODUCTS; it's always been about monopoly TACTICS.
    2007 Oct 06 05:28 PM | Link | Reply
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    Well, that's because Apple made a mistake with patenting their inventions so it was easy for Microsoft to copy and produce cheap versions, but now the can't just copy. They are probably pissed they can't copy the clickwheel.
    2007 Oct 07 03:27 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If you do a little product research, you will find LG Voyager, serial number VX10000, is successor to LG enV, serial number VX9900, and combines the touchscreen feature of LG Prada, introduced in 2006 in Europe, and flip-open qwerty keyboard of LG enV. LG enV seems to sell well on Amazon. One can only assume LG Voyager will sell as well. So it is not doomed as Carl Howe quickly concludes from an announcement that caught his eye. Maybe he should do some product research before commenting.
    2007 Oct 06 02:23 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Somehow, with Apple, there's only people who love it, or hate it. But saying Apple's being better never worked with computers is just ridiculous. They are the number 1 laptop seller in the U.S. now and their computer sales are on a very healthy rise for years now.

    On another note, I believe Carl is right. Many companies built mp3-players that were just as good or better than the iPod, yet most people still bought iPods. Why? Because Apple has superior design, engineering and a superior brand and somehow, their products have high emotional value. So making something just as good as Apple, just won't cut it.

    It's not that iPods and iPhones don't have their flaws... but every product has some, and I'd always take the extra benefits of owning an Apple product over these minor problems.
    2007 Oct 07 03:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Somehow, with Apple, there's only people who love it, or hate it. But saying Apple's being better never worked with computers is just ridiculous. They are the number 1 laptop seller in the U.S. now and their computer sales are on a very healthy rise for years now.

    On another note, I believe Carl is right. Many companies built mp3-players that were just as good or better than the iPod, yet most people still bought iPods. Why? Because Apple has superior design, engineering and a superior brand and somehow, their products have high emotional value. So making something just as good as Apple, just won't cut it.

    It's not that iPods and iPhones don't have their flaws... but every product has some, and I'd always take the extra benefits of owning an Apple product over these minor problems.
    2007 Oct 07 03:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Apple has done an excellent job of marketing the iPod and if describing a new product as "It's like an iPhone but it has.." to this reader is simply common sense. If the quality of the phone is equal and the price simular It eliminates several questions on ability and cuts to the chase of the REAL question. Will all my bells and whistles work on the system I am on? Verizon has a proven signal .Oh buy the way I don't own any stock in Verizon
    2007 Oct 07 11:03 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Apple has done an excellent job of marketing the iPod and if describing a new product as "It's like an iPhone but it has.." to this reader is simply common sense. If the quality of the phone is equal and the price simular It eliminates several questions on ability and cuts to the chase of the REAL question. Will all my bells and whistles work on the system I am on? Verizon has a proven signal .Oh buy the way I don't own any stock in Verizon
    2007 Oct 07 11:03 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Apple has done an excellent job of marketing the iPod and if describing a new product as "It's like an iPhone but it has.." to this reader is simply common sense. If the quality of the phone is equal and the price similar It eliminates several questions about ability and cuts to the chase of the REAL question. Will all my bells and whistles work on the system I am on? I am tired of listening to my ATT friends complaining about their service and I know that Verizon HAS a proven signal ...P.S. I don't own any stock in Verizon.
    2007 Oct 07 11:19 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This article gets lost in financial geekery and overlooks the #1 reason why the Zune and the Voyager will fail to compete significantly. And that reason is social. Nobody wants to walk around carrying something that looks like a knockoff. For the same reason you would rather wear a plastic swatch than a watch that looks almost-but-not-quite-l... people would rather buy, say, a Razr, than something that looks almost-but-not-quite-l... Because one says 'I've opted out of the New Big Thing', whereas the other says 'I want to opt in but I don't have the cash and/or stomach for it'. Which message would you rather send?

    Anyone in the market for the Voyager will likely feel much more socially comfortable either buying an actual iPhone or just an LG Chocolate phone or something.

    This is the single most important factor in why 'visual knockoffs' *never* win. *Ever*.
    2007 Oct 07 01:43 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What seems to get lost in all of these discussions is that Verizon does not compete with Apple, the last time I looked, Apple didnt have a milti billion dollar industry leading wireless network, and Verizon does not manufacture phones. The only thing that Apple brought to the party is 1 new phone (which by the way was rejected by Verizon). AT&T is Verizon's competitor, and even with exclusive after exclusive, Verizon's has still outpaced AT&T in net add's and churn quarter after quarter for the past 3 to 4 years. It is for this reason that I believe that the Voyager will outsell the Apple, not because I think that the Voyager has better features, it might but that's insignificicant. The Voyager is not a copy or knockoff of the Apple, It is a second generation PRADA, LG did have a touch screen phone before Apple did, and finally for all of you that need a pretty phone; My advise is, go out and find a pretty girlfried, then maybe you won't need to rely on your "cell phone" to look good..
    2007 Oct 08 05:06 PM | Link | Reply