Future Still Bright for Thornburg After Unmerited Price Drop

Tim Plaehn profile picture
Tim Plaehn
4.21K Followers

Thornburg Mortgage (TMA): 11.40 0.00 0.00% has issued a statement that it will revise its loss on the sale of securities from around $900 million to $1.1 billion on the sale of $22 billion of mortgage securities from the company’s portfolio. The shares skidded yesterday by about 10%. I think the revised numbers have little or no effect on the ongoing prospects for TMA and the share price drop is without merit.

The asset sale was taken mainly to pay off the loans that were used to fund the purchase of these securities. In other words, the assets were sold to pay off a similar amount of debt. The fact that the securities were sold at a loss does not affect the ongoing prospects for the company. This is quite different from a company that spends more money than it takes in as revenue and thus books a loss. That company is spending more than it makes. Thornburg sold some assets to pay off debts. The loss of the assets should not affect the future profitability of the company.

Thornburg has reduced its assets and debts by about a third. The remaining assets should be adequate to provide a generous ongoing dividend. I expect the dividend to be in the 40 to 50 cent range and increasing from there as profitability improves. I believe any investor who buys at these prices and holds on for the next few quarters will be well rewarded.

This video features someone who thinks the $.68 dividend will continue to be paid.

Disclosure: The author owns shares of TMA.

This article was written by

Tim Plaehn profile picture
4.21K Followers
I'm the lead investment research analyst for income and dividend investing at Investors Alley, an independent investment research service. My primary role is editor of several investment advisories bringing actionable income and dividend investment recommendations to investors hungry for yield with relative safety. These advisories include The Dividend Hunter, 30 Day Dividends, and Automatic Income Machine.Prior to joining Investors Alley, I was a stock broker, a Certified Financial Planner, and an F-16 fighter pilot and flight instructor with the United States Air Force. In addition to my primary duty of flying the F-16 to defend our nation's skies I was an instructor in the F-16 Flying Falcon as well as the OV-10 Bronco. During my time in the service I was stationed at various military locations in including Osan AB, Korea, Patrick AFB, Florida, and Nellis AFB in Las Vegas. I graduated from the United States Air Force Academy with a degree in mathematics.It was during those years when I was a Certified Financial Planner and helping families and individuals plan their finances and make wise investment decisions that found my second passion in life: investment research. (Flying was and still is my first.)My area of specialty is evaluating income generating investments to find the combination of sustainable and growing dividends, special dividend opportunities, and share price appreciation driven by management's commitment to dividend growth. I have a particular emphasis on master limited partnerships, business development corporations, and real estate investment trusts.I've previously written for USA Today, The Motley Fool, eHow, SFGate, Chron.com, Wikinvest.com, Moneynews.com, iStockAnalyst, among others, and have contributed vast firsthand research to a major provider of data on master limited partnerships, another area of extreme interest to me. Along with my duties with Investors Alley I'm a regular contributor to Seeking Alpha. In addition to the articles posted here on Seeking Alpha you can find my investment analysis on the Investors Alley website and the weekly newsletter, The Market Cap.

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