Despite record high crude oil prices putting the squeeze on refineries margins, the stocks are up strongly across the board on news that Kirk Kerkorian wants to take a 20% stake in Tesoro (TSO), and willing to pay a 12% premium to Friday's price to do it.

  • Tracinda Corp. said it plans to offer $64 apiece for 21.9 million, or about 16 percent, of outstanding Tesoro shares. The firm, of which Kerkorian is the only shareholder, said it already owns about 4 percent of Tesoro shares.
  • The offer represents a premium of about 12 percent over Thursday's closing price of $57.20. It is "without regard" to the 10-cent-per-share dividend Tesoro expects to pay next month.
  • Tracinda said it "believes that the fundamentals of the petroleum refining industry make it an attractive area for investment," the firm said in a statement. Tesoro "is well positioned within the industry and has a management team that is effectively executing its strategic plan," it added.
While this group is not exactly a secular growth story, it is great for 2-4 month trades a few times a year. However profit margins right now are at trough levels so it hasn't been a good investment of late - with that said, it has been strange to see them strengthening a bit in the face of ever higher crude prices; well now we see why. (stuff like this never leaks out on Wall Street) yeh.

Some earlier posts on this sector are here

I only hold a smallish position in Frontier Oil (FTO) which is up 6.5% in early trading; other names in the sector surging are Holly Corp (HOC), Western Refining (WNR), and king refiner Valero Energy (VLO). Another reason it is tough to be a short in this market - there is so much money swirling around to do takeovers, buyouts, et al when prices get too low.

I am going to take this opportunity to sell 200 of the 350 shares in the position in Frontier Oil (FTO). I like this name but need some cash and I have a nice spike to sell into. This will raise about $9200 and bring down the position to less than 1%. I'll consider buying back in the low $40s if it retraces.

Disclosure: Long Frontier Oil in fund; no personal positions

Trader Mark

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