12 Bounce Stocks for 2008 - Barron's 3 comments
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Depressed shares of some U.S. companies are trading at or near book value, a level that often provides a price floor. Barron's Andrew Bary looks at 12 potential turnaround stocks that may bounce in 2008:
1) American International Group (AIG) - at 1.4x book value and 8x 2008 profits, shares are at historical lows. Shares ($55) could hit $75.
2) Bear Stearns (BSC) - shares ($80) are below book value ($84). If Bear adapts to the current environment, shares could hit $100, and it could become a takeover target.
3) Comcast (CMCSA)
- trades at just $3,000/customer, down from $4,000 a year ago. Could be targeted by activist investors.
4+5) Comerica (CMA) and SunTrust (STI) - regional bank shares offer historically high dividend yields (6.2% and 4.9%). SunTrust is a takeover target.
6) Gannett (GCI) - strip away its $17/share TV business, and shares trade at just 5x pretax cash flow for its newspapers.
7) Kohl's (KSS) - despite tripling its store base since 2001, shares still trade at 2000 levels.
8) Legg Mason (LM) - hurt by cash outflows after 2 bad years and SIV exposure, shares trade at just 12x estimated profits, one of the lowest valuations in the industry.
9) Micron (MU) - trades at just 0.73x book value and 0.85x tangible book value. It will rise once the DRAM market gets rational.
10) Southwest Airlines (LUV) - boasts the sector's best balance sheet. Its fuel-hedging has it 80% covered for 2008 at $51/barrel. Shares trade below post 9/11 levels.
11) Starbucks (SBUX) - despite a drop from $40 to $18, profits are still growing at 15% annually.
12) Time Warner (TWX) - one analyst says the $16 shares carry a sum-of-parts value of $21.
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