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Not long after Barack Obama entered the presidential race last February, there appeared on YouTube a parody of the famed 1984 Macintosh ad in which Hillary Clinton was portrayed as Big Brother. It all seemed a bit heavy handed at the time, but in the months since the Apple analogy has grown stronger and not weaker. Apple stock more than doubled last year as the company became the sine qua non of hip and cool. Its white-background TV ads gently mocked the PC-and-Microsoft world rather than treating it as a totalitarian ruler.

Isn't that the same cool-and-confident tone that Obama had shown in recent months? He derides the Clinton campaign (where my spouse is a senior advisor) and belittles it gently but devastatingly. I had enough confidence in Apple last year to buy some stock when it was at $75 but as it approached $100 I dumped it, fearing that it couldn't rise any higher. Oops. It went on to $200.

If I misjudged the Apple rise to astonishing heights, the entire political world misjudged Obama. As late as last Tuesday night, the conventional wisdom saw a muddled result coming out of Iowa or an Edwards win. No one foresaw the surge of young and new voters into the caucuses.

As I noted last week, the caucus that I went to in downtown Des Moines was supposed to be good for Edwards and Hillary. Obama won it by more than two-to-one. His people owned the room, not only in their sheer numbers but in the way they deftly rounded up the falling Kucinich and Dodd and Richardson and Biden contingents. Obama was Apple.

Now, Hillary Clinton is Dell. The Austin-based computer maker was hottest thing in the 90s, like the Clintons. Since then it's fallen on harder times, although it's hardly gone the way of Atari or Commodore or other computer relics. It's still a strong brand with a thriving following. But it's not Apple. And it's attempts to remake itself with hipper designs, like the Cupertino company, seem like they might meet with success but not anytime soon.

Likewise, Hillary's efforts to retool her message - to raise legitimate questions about what change Obama has really wrought and his shiftin triangulating positions - seems likely to pay fruit but not in the next 36 hours and probably not in time to save the nomination. Joe Klein notes in Time's blog, Swampland, that if Clinton had a different last name she'd be seen as fresh and smart and as change-laden as Obama.

The first woman president is arguably as radical a step, as big a moment on the world stage, as the first African-American one. But she's not a new brand. She's Dell, stong, solid, formidable but lacking Apple's immense coolness. Marketers everywhere take note.

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This article has 12 comments:

  •  
    That's just a great analogy! Love it...
    2008 Jan 08 03:15 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    A near perfect analogy except for one thing: Apple has substance while Obama is more style at this point.
    2008 Jan 08 03:28 AM | Link | Reply
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    which makes Ron Paul Wang
    2008 Jan 08 09:51 AM | Link | Reply
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    Immense coolness, heh? En ex-junkie as senator is a bit of a stretch already, but as president? We have one already, the country could do without another. Get real, any association with Apple is just ludicrious.
    2008 Jan 08 10:07 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Mac is Lincoln, Washington, and Jefferson. Dell is Rutherford B. Hayes.
    2008 Jan 08 03:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bush is like the typical Enterprise CIO: Obstructionist, combative, and dense.
    2008 Jan 08 03:43 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    You missed the right metaphor, Cooper. Hillary is Microsoft, not Dell, and is like Microsoft is hated even among those who are invested in her...
    2008 Jan 08 05:37 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "Microsoft is hated even among those who are invested in her..."

    Probably including the employees. You know, the guys not good enough to work for Apple or LINUX.

    Let's all just focus on getting a Prez with some interest other than lining the pockets of his or her oil buddies.
    2008 Jan 09 09:25 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This kind of focus on clever analogies is totally devoid of substance, not to mention flawed. Apple is thriving not only because it's "hip", but because the company sells products that people want, and has plenty more in the pipeline. They come up with great products, and execute flawlessly in bringing them to market.

    Comparing this company to Obama seems very strange. When I've asked people why they intend to vote for the Senator from Illinois, I've received the following answer several times: "Well, when he speaks, I just get goosebumps!" People are too lazy to get into the details, because, let's face it, policy is just SO damned boring! But just seven years ago, people's choice got down to "oh, I'd just like to have W as a next door neighbor, and...gosh...maybe even have a beer with him!"

    So here's the deal: the things generating Apple's success are very specific. Those which have boosted Obama are vague, and in some cases, mindless. Hopefully, most SA readers realize that the problems facing the financial sector and economy are serious, deep, and will require a serious approach to fiscal and monetary policy, as well as some regulatory changes in the banking industry. Goosebump generating speeches probably won't help a whole lot.

    Wake up America. Mike Bloomberg, Hillary Clinton, or Mitt Romney might be a little boring, but we may just be ready for a boring, analytical type of President. As for you, Mr.Cooper, why don't you just go back to hanging out with Scooter Libby.
    2008 Jan 09 12:48 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    No, Obama is a Marxist and Hilliary is a Socialist.
    2008 Jan 09 07:32 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I reiterate: people don't want to be troubled with analyzing details or policy; just mindless slogans and comments.

    As to the previous mindless comment, (a) learn to spell Hillary, and (b) I hate to break this to you, but most people who want to build their portfolios and accumulate wealth would LOVE a return to the Clinton 90's. We cleaned up the deficit mess left by Reagan/Bush, ushered in a free trade policy and embraced globalization, and created more jobs than any administration in history. That's not socialism; it's free-market capitalism. We'll have a lot of cleaning up to do after W, but we've cleaned up after the Bushes before, and we'll do it again.
    2008 Jan 09 10:12 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I'm Konrad Zeus. I am Collosus.
    2008 Jan 10 12:46 PM | Link | Reply