Why I Bit The Bullet And Bought Zynga

May.31.12 | About: Zynga (ZNGA)

It has been a very tough environment for the social media space since the broken IPO of Facebook (NASDAQ:FB). which is now down some 30% since its debut. One social media stock, Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA), looks like it has entered oversold territory after falling more than 50% since its own IPO and is worth a hard look by patient investors.

Catalysts for ZNGA:

  • The latest lockup period ended Tuesday. Given the stock's 15% plunge this week, I would reckon that most insiders that wanted to sell have done so. The stock should now stabilize.
  • Robert W Baird just upgraded the stock to "Outperform" based on valuation.
  • Zynga could be major beneficiary if Congress allows real money gaming.
  • In a sign of possible things to come, Zynga recently signed into a partnership with American Express (NYSE:AXP).

4 reasons ZNGA is worth a flyer at $6 a share:

  • Thanks to an IPO that managed to be issued at twice today's price, the company has a $1B in net cash on hand or almost 25% of market capitalization.
  • The company has over 200 million monthly active users and is just in the early stages of monetizing them.
  • The stock has a forward PE of just over 16, which is significantly less than the forward PE of Glu Mobile (NASDAQ:GLUU), which I also own.
  • The company is expected to have more than 20% revenue growth in both FY2012 and FY2013 and the median analysts' price target of $12.50 on Zynga.

Disclosure: I am long GLUU, ZNGA.