Dollar Tree: Inside The Numbers

| About: Dollar Tree, (DLTR)

Determining a company's financial health is a very important step in making a decision whether or not to invest or to stay invested. There are many different ways to compute a company's financial health. In this test, I will be taking into consideration Dollar Tree Incorporation's (NASDAQ:DLTR) profitability, debt and capital, and operating efficiency. Based on this criteria, we get to see sales, returns, margins, liabilities, assets, returns and turnovers.


Profitability is a class of financial metrics that are used to assess a business' ability to generate earnings as compared with expenses and other relevant costs incurred during a specific period of time.

In this section we will look at four tests of profitability. They are: Net Income, Operating Cash Flow, Return on Assets and Quality of Earnings. From these four metrics, we will establish if the company is making money and gauge the quality of the reported profits.

  1. Net Income 2011 = $488.3 million

To pass, the company needs to have a positive net income. Dollar Tree passes.

  1. Operating Cash Flow 2011 = $782.1 million

Operating Cash Flow is the cash generated from the operations of a company, generally defined as revenue less all operating expenses, but calculated through a series of adjustments to net income.

To pass, the company needs to have a positive operating cash flow. Dollar Tree passes.

  1. ROA - Return On Assets

ROA is an indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings. Calculated by dividing a company's net income by its total assets, ROA is displayed as a percentage. Sometimes this is referred to as "return on investment."

  • ROA in 2010 = 16.69%

  • ROA in 2011 = 20.97%

  • Net income growth, 2010 = $397.3 million to 2011 = $488.3 million, a gain of 22.9%

  • Total Asset growth, 2010 = $2.380 billion to 2011 = $2.328 billion, a difference of -2.23%

In 2010 to 2011, the company's ROA grew. Dollar Tree passes.

  1. Quality of Earnings

Quality of Earnings is the amount of earnings attributable to higher sales or lower costs rather than artificial profits created by accounting anomalies such as inflation of inventory.

  • Operating Cash Flow 2011 = $782.1 million

  • Net Income 2011 = $488.3 million

To pass, the operating cash flow must exceed the net income. Dollar Tree passes, Operating Cash Flow exceeds net income.

Debt and Capital

The Debt and Capital section establishes if the company is sinking into debt or digging its way out. It will also determine if the company is growing organically or raising cash by selling off stock.

  1. Total Liabilities to Total Assets or TL/A ratio.

TL/A ratio is a metric used to measure a company's financial risk by determining how much of the company's assets have been financed by debt.

  • Total Assets - 2010 = $2.380 billion

  • Total Assets - 2011 = $2.328 billion

  • Equals an decrease of 2.23%

  • Total Liabilities 2010 = $921.5 million

  • Total liabilities 2011 = $984.0 million

  • Increase of 6.78%

Dollar Tree's increase in total assets was less than the percentage increase of total liabilities. Total assets decreased by 2.23%, while the total liabilities increased by 6.78%. As the total assets percentage did not exceed the total liabilities percentage, Dollar Tree does not pass.

  1. Working Capital

Working Capital is a general and quick measure of liquidity of a firm. It represents the margin of safety or cushion available to the creditors. It is an index of the firm's financial stability. It is also an index of technical solvency and an index of the strength of working capital.

  • Current Assets / Current liabilities

  • Current Ratio 2010 = 2.50

  • Current Ratio 2011 = 2.08

Dollar Tree's current ratio went from 2.50 in 2010 to 2.08 in 2011. As Dollar Tree's current ratio dropped, Dollar Tree does not pass.

  1. Shares Outstanding
  • 2010 Shares Outstanding = 123.39 million

  • 2011 Shares Outstanding = 115.58 million

To pass, the company's shares must increase less than by 2%. Dollar Tree's shares decrease by 6.75%. Dollar Tree passes.

Operating Efficiency

Operating Efficiency is a market condition that exists when participants can execute transactions and receive services at a price that equates fairly to the actual costs required to provide them. An operationally-efficient market allows investors to make transactions that move the market further toward the overall goal of prudent capital allocation without being chiseled down by excessive frictional costs, which would reduce the risk/reward profile of the transaction.

  1. Gross Margin: Gross Income / Sales

The gross profit margin is a measurement of a company's manufacturing and distribution efficiency during the production process. The gross profit tells an investor the percentage of revenue / sales left after subtracting the cost of goods sold. A company that boasts a higher gross profit margin than its competitors and industry is more efficient. Investors tend to pay more for businesses that have higher efficiency ratings than their competitors, as these businesses should be able to make a decent profit as long as overhead costs are controlled (overhead refers to rent, utilities, etc.)

  • Gross Margin 2010 = $2.087 billion / $5.882 billion = 35.48%

  • Gross Margin 2011 = $2.378 billion/ $6.630 billion = 35.86%

The gross profit margins increased in 2011 from 2010. The gross margin went from 35.48% to 35.86%. Dollar Tree passes.

  1. Asset Turnover:

The formula for the asset turnover ratio evaluates how well a company is utilizing its assets to produce revenue.

The numerator of the asset turnover ratio formula shows revenues found on a company's income statement and the denominator shows total assets which is found on a company's balance sheet. Total assets should be averaged over the period of time that is being evaluated.

  • Sales growth - 2010 sales = $5.882 billion

  • Sales growth - 2011 sales = $6.630 billion

  • 12.71% sales increase

  • Asset growth - Assets in 2010 = $2.380 billion

  • Asset growth - Assets in 2011 = $2.328 billion

  • Asset decrease of 2.23%

As the sales growth is exceeding the asset growth, this implies that the company is producing revenue on its assets. Dollar Tree passes.

Based on the nine tests that Dollar Tree received on profitability, debt and capital, and operating efficiency, the company received seven passes out of nine - this is a good grade for financial health. The company did not pass the TL/A ratio and the Working Capital metric of the test. The TL/A ratio implies that some of the company assets have been financed by debt. The working capital metric implies that the company has fewer assets compared with its liabilities than the previous year. As the company's revenue and income has been steadily increasing over the past few years there are no red flags raised.

As Dollar Tree passed seven out of nine tests, this shows that Dollar Tree is very profitable, efficient and is using its assets to produce revenue. Based on the nine tests, overall the company is showing good results.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.