Travelers to Europe this summer, myself included, are going to experience sticker shock even more severe than what we felt last year.

Currency watchers know that Tuesday's dollar weakness re-invigorated the Euro'sc ascent against the USD, helping it travel to new highs yesterday above $1.51. What they might not realize was how important the breakout was on the basis of Point & Figure charting; the move through $1.50 constituted a triple-top breakout, one of the most powerful and reliable patterns under this style of technical analysis. Thus, look for the Euro to go higher, ultimately toward the $1.60-range.

After consolidating its move from the previous leg up, yesterday's break at 150 ends the guessing as to whether the U.S. dollar was forming a base in recent weeks: the Euro's upside breakout says that it wasn't. Further, the Euro's weekly momentum just turned positive, as well:

Investors can very easily play this break with the Currency Shares Euro Trust (FXE) for a trade and as a USD hedge. And when compared to other foreign currencies, the Euro continues to come up at the top of my currency matrix.

Disclosure: Author holds a long position in FXE

Bruce Zaro

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This article has 1 comment:

  •  
    Feb 29 12:36 AM
    Excellent news.....ARe you guys aware you can go to your local bank and literally BUY euros? Granted there's a small transaction fee but with the way the euro is moving towards the dollar there's money to be made in the transition back to dollars. At the very least it's a way to protect wealth than just sitting in a savings account.

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