Determining a company's financial health is a very important step in making a decision whether or not to invest or to stay invested. There are many different ways to compute a company's financial health. In this test, I will be taking into consideration Goldcorp Inc.'s (GG) profitability, debt and capital, and operating efficiency. Based on this criteria, we get to see sales, returns, margins, liabilities, assets, returns and turnovers.
Profitability is a class of financial metrics that are used to assess a business' ability to generate earnings as compared with expenses and other relevant costs incurred during a specific period of time.
In this section we will look at four tests of profitability. They are: Net Income, Operating Cash Flow, Return on Assets and Quality of Earnings. From these four metrics, we will establish if the company is making money and gauge the quality of the reported profits.
- Net Income 2011 = $1.881 billion
To pass, the company needs to have a positive net income. Goldcorp passes.
- Operating Cash Flow 2011 = $2.151 billion
Operating Cash Flow is the cash generated from the operations of a company, generally defined as revenue less all operating expenses, but calculated through a series of adjustments to net income.
To pass, the company needs to have a positive operating cash flow. Goldcorp passes.
- ROA - Return On Assets
ROA is an indicator of how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. ROA gives an idea as to how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings. Calculated by dividing a company's net income by its total assets, ROA is displayed as a percentage. Sometimes this is referred to as "return on investment."
ROA in 2010 = 7.39%
ROA in 2011 = 6.40%
Net income growth, 2010 = $2.043 billion to 2011 = $1.881 billion, a decrease of 8.61%
Total Asset growth, 2010 = $27.639 billion to 2011 = $29.374 billion, a difference of 4.36%
In 2010 to 2011, the company's ROA fell. Goldcorp does not pass.
- Quality of Earnings
Quality of Earnings is the amount of earnings attributable to higher sales or lower costs rather than artificial profits created by accounting anomalies such as inflation of inventory.
Operating Cash Flow 2011 = $2.151 billion
Net Income 2011 = $1.881 billion
To pass, the operating cash flow must exceed the net income. Goldcorp passes, Operating Cash Flow exceeds net income.
Debt and Capital
The Debt and Capital section establishes if the company is sinking into debt or digging its way out. It will also determine if the company is growing organically or raising cash by selling off stock.
- Total Liabilities to Total Assets or TL/A ratio.
TL/A ratio is a metric used to measure a company's financial risk by determining how much of the company's assets have been financed by debt.
Total Assets - 2010 = $27.639 billion
Total Assets - 2011 = $29.374 billion
Equals an increase of 6.27%
Total Liabilities 2010 = $8.086 billion
Total liabilities 2011 = $8.102 billion
Increase of .19%
Goldcorp's increase in total assets was more than the percentage increase of total liabilities. Total assets increased by 6.27%, while the total liabilities increased by .19%. As the total assets exceeded the total liabilities, Gold Corp. passes.
- Working Capital
Working Capital is a general and quick measure of liquidity of a firm. It represents the margin of safety or cushion available to the creditors. It is an index of the firm's financial stability. It is also an index of technical solvency and an index of the strength of working capital.
Current Assets / Current liabilities
Current Ratio 2010 = 1.72
Current Ratio 2011 = 3.83
Goldcorp's current ratio went from 1.72 in 2010 to 3.83 in 2011. As Goldcorp's current ratio increased, Goldcorp passes.
- Shares Outstanding
2010 Shares Outstanding = 798.37 million
2011 Shares Outstanding = 809.94 million
To pass, the company's shares must increase less than by 2%. Gold Corps increase in shares was 1.44%. Gold Corp passes.
Operating Efficiency is a market condition that exists when participants can execute transactions and receive services at a price that equates fairly to the actual costs required to provide them. An operationally-efficient market allows investors to make transactions that move the market further toward the overall goal of prudent capital allocation without being chiseled down by excessive frictional costs, which would reduce the risk/reward profile of the transaction.
- Gross Margin: Gross Income / Sales
The gross profit margin is a measurement of a company's manufacturing and distribution efficiency during the production process. The gross profit tells an investor the percentage of revenue / sales left after subtracting the cost of goods sold. A company that boasts a higher gross profit margin than its competitors and industry is more efficient. Investors tend to pay more for businesses that have higher efficiency ratings than their competitors, as these businesses should be able to make a decent profit as long as overhead costs are controlled (overhead refers to rent, utilities, etc.)
Gross Margin 2010 = $1.660 billion / $3.738 billion = 44.40%
Gross Margin 2011 = $2.626 billion/ $5.362 billion = 48.97%
The gross profit margins increased in 2011 from 2010. The gross margin went from 44.40% to 48.97%. Goldcorp passes.
- Asset Turnover:
The formula for the asset turnover ratio evaluates how well a company is utilizing its assets to produce revenue.
The numerator of the asset turnover ratio formula shows revenues found on a company's income statement and the denominator shows total assets which is found on a company's balance sheet. Total assets should be averaged over the period of time that is being evaluated.
Sales growth - 2010 sales = $3.738 billion
Sales growth - 2011 sales = $5.362 billion
43.44% sales increase
Asset growth - Assets in 2010 = $27.639 billion
Asset growth - Assets in 2011 = $29.374 billion
Asset increase of 6.28%
As the sales growth is exceeding the asset growth, this implies that the company is producing revenue on its assets. Goldcorp passes.
Based on the nine tests that Goldcorp received on profitability, debt and capital, and operating efficiency, the company received eight passes out of nine - this is a strong grade for financial health. The company did not pass the ROA aspect of the test. This implies that the company was less profitable relative to its total assets. As the company's revenue steadily increased over the past few years there are no red flags raised.
As the price of gold has a very large impact on the margins both past, current and going forward, here is a link of three banks' targets on gold for the year 2012. 2012 Gold price to be 28% more than current levels.
There are many other factors to take into consideration when buying a gold stock, but based on the above financial metrics you can see if the company was able to take advantage of the past few years' gold prices.
As Goldcorp passed eight out of nine tests, this shows that Goldcorp is very profitable, efficient and is using its assets to produce revenue. Based on the nine tests, overall the company is showing strong results.
Disclosure: I am long GG.