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Given Apple (AAPL) shares are 9% below their April peak, you're likely curious if it's time to buy.

If Mark Twain is right in saying history rhymes, Apple investors won't be disappointed come October.

Over the past 10 Q3's, shares have traded up 8 times for an average return of 13.99%. Shareholders were rewarded with double digit percentage gains 7 times.

But while anticipation of the latest iPhone incarnation helps propel Apple higher in the quarter, it's a different story for Apple's suppliers.

None boast strong seasonality for the upcoming quarter. And three have only gained ground in 4 of the past 10 years - hardly compelling.

Company

Symbol

SECTOR

# Up

Q3

Q3

(of 10)

Average

Median

Apple Computer

AAPL

TECHNOLOGY

8

13.99%

16.36%

SUPPLIERS

Broadcom

BRCM

TECHNOLOGY

6

-1.80%

3.53%

Cirrus Logic

CRUS

TECHNOLOGY

4

-1.15%

-4.64%

Fairchild Semi

FCS

TECHNOLOGY

5

-4.59%

-1.28%

Corning

GLW

TECHNOLOGY

4

-8.31%

-3.83%

Nuance

NUAN

TECHNOLOGY

4

-5.70%

-11.42%

Qualcomm

QCOM

TECHNOLOGY

5

6.95%

0.17%

Skyworks

SWKS

TECHNOLOGY

5

5.83%

1.92%

Triquint

TQNT

TECHNOLOGY

5

1.44%

1.37%

Texas Instruments

TXN

TECHNOLOGY

5

-0.46%

3.67%

If we look at the data from the past 5 years, Apple remains strong and suppliers remain weak.

Corning and Qualcomm are particularly worrisome, given each has only posted gains in 1 of the past 5 Q3s.

Symbol

SECTOR

# Up

Q3

(of 5)

Average

AAPL

TECHNOLOGY

4

10.04%

SUPPLIERS

BRCM

TECHNOLOGY

3

4.70%

CRUS

TECHNOLOGY

2

0.85%

FCS

TECHNOLOGY

2

-0.95%

GLW

TECHNOLOGY

1

-11.56%

NUAN

TECHNOLOGY

3

3.24%

QCOM

TECHNOLOGY

1

3.77%

SWKS

TECHNOLOGY

3

8.84%

TQNT

TECHNOLOGY

2

5.57%

TXN

TECHNOLOGY

2

-3.10%

So, while Apple benefits from pre-launch buzz, investors have historically taken a wait-and-see approach to suppliers.

With summer notoriously troublesome, you should take a similar approach this year. After all, patience is usually rewarded with a better buy opportunity ahead of fall.

Source: Apple Seasonality Strong In Q3, But Suppliers Are Mixed