Jim Cramer's Mad Money In-Depth, 3/18/08: ...And the Henry Potter Award Goes to... 6 comments
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Stocks discussed in the in-depth session of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money TV program,Tuesday March 18. Click on a stock ticker for more analysis.
*The financially-astute villian in the classic film "It's a Wonderful Life."Hitting Bottom: Fannie Mae (FNM), Lehman Brothers (LEH), Goldman Sachs (GS), Bear Stearns (BSC), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), First Solar (FSLR), Visa (V), Mastercard (MA)
Cramer thinks Tuesday’s oversold rally is different from last’ Tuesday’s jump because he believes the market has finally bottomed. Cramer gave ten reasons for his assessment
1. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson has finally resolved to do whatever it takes to save the system.
2. Mortgage bonds were trading up, and there may be a deal between the government and Fannie Mae that would allow it to buy back its bonds at low prices. As a result mortgage rates will drop.
3. GS and LEH reported impressive numbers. GS was up $24 instead of being down $24.
4. The “real” economy is in good shape, even though many financials are swooning, and some are at their 52-week highs.
5. It is safe to keep your money in an investment firm as demonstrated by Bear Stearns. Funds will not be wiped out.
6. There is a “life support system” for dealing with troubled banks and brokers.
7. AAPL, GOOG, ISRG and FSLR showed their first signs of life so far this year.
8. The Visa IPO is worth getting in and will be profitable. Cramer suggested MA as well.
9. Abbey Joseph Cohen, the bullish strategist who remained firm during down times, retired; “I always love a good irony trade,” said Cramer.
10. The market rallied in spite of the Ben Bernanke cutting only 75 basis points instead of 100.
Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI)
Cramer called glass the next miniature bull market and would buy OI, the world’s largest producer of glass containers because of the growing shortage in the fragile material. Goldman predicted glass prices could rise 6 or 7%. OI trounced estimates by nearly double and obtains 70% of its revenue from international sales which are growing at a rate of 17%. Cramer predicts OI could reach $61 a share.JP Morgan (JPM), Bear Stearns (BSC)
Cramer sang JPM CEO Jamie Dimon’s praises for his “ruthless brilliance” in acquiring the fifth largest investment bank in the U.S Bear Stearns at an amazing discount of $2 per share. JPM rose $6 since last Friday. Cramer gave Jamie Dimon the “Henry Potter* Prize” for take-no-prisoners banking. Dimon paid only $236 million for an acquisition worth $18 billion, and JPM now has Bear’s prime brokerage and clearing businesses, commodities and energy trading businesses, asset management business and the troubled mortgage operations.
Mad Mail: Wells Fargo, (WFC), US Bancorp (USB), Goldman Sachs (GS), Starbucks (SBUX), Hershey (HSY)
Cramer says WFC may be the next to buy a troubled bank, and thinks GS and USB may also be able to make a purchase. Concerning SBUX and HSY, Cramer said, “I believe in Howard Schultz turning around Starbucks. But I have said it’s an 18-month turn. So you have to be very, very patient. Hershey, I still don’t see a bottom in that.”
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