Wal-Mart: Strong International Growth, Especially Latin America
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Things appear to be going smoothly at Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT). On Thursday, the world’s largest retailer raised its first quarter profit guidance and said sales in March climbed 0.7%. Its shares are also performing well, and as of Wednesday's close had risen 14% in 2008.
But Wal-Mart has stores all over the world, so when it hosts its international analyst meeting on April 17 to 18, the market will be listening. In addition to improving U.S. results, the company has made encouraging progress internationally, particularly in Latin America, according to Goldman Sachs analyst Adrianne Shapira. She thinks its returns will continue to improve, and continues to rate the shares a “buy” with a $55 price target.
In a note to clients Ms. Shapira said:
The company’s aggressive pricing message across both its domestic and international markets should facilitate future market share gains.
In Brazil, favorable macro drivers like low interest rates and strong real wage growth, as well as a growing middle class, should allow Wal-Mart to leverage its Every Day Low Price and multi-format strategy. The analyst also noted that more than 70% of the Brazilian population fits Wal-Mart’s target lower-income consumer profile, an approach that has paid off with better-than-planned results.
While Brazil only accounts for less than 10% of Wal-Mart’s international sales, the company hopes returns will double there in the next five years.
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