Exxon Mobil: The Root of all Evil?
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"Since the gas lines of the '70s, Democrats and Republicans have talked about energy independence, but nothing's changed — except now Exxon's making $40 billion a year, and we're paying $3.50 for gas. I'm (candidate's name). I don't take money from oil companies or Washington lobbyists, and I won't let them block change anymore. They'll pay a penalty on windfall profits. We'll invest in alternative energy, create jobs and free ourselves from foreign oil." - Presidential Contender (who shall remain nameless)
In the very emotional debate over oil, our title suggests what at least a couple (we won’t name names) of the current Presidential candidates believe. One recently suggested that Exxon’s (XOM) $40 billion 2007 profit should be subject to a windfall profit tax. Great idea!
Let's punish big oil, they are gouging us at $3.50/gallon. If we garnish their profits, surely we’d all be better off, and the price of gas will fall. We should also force them to contribute to renewable energy solutions, viable or not.
It's not sufficient enough that the evil Exxon empire paid $29.864 billion in taxes last year to Uncle Sam. Nor, that the government picked up another $1 billion in taxes paid on $7 billion in dividends that Exxon paid shareholders last year. Nor that there's a $.184 per gallon federal tax on gasoline; not to mention the billions states receive through gasoline taxes.
Exxon's 11.32 percent net profit margin is obscene. Let's tax them to the point that it is no longer worth being in the oil business, no longer worth developing technology to find oil in very difficult to reach places. That will make us all very happy. We can all grow our own corn, make our own ethanol and we’ll never be beholden to big oil again.
Disclosure: The author does not have a position in Exxon-Mobil, but does have a position in Vanguard's Energy Fund.
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This article has 59 comments:
In the mid- 1970's, Congress implemented CAFE standards to combat an oil shortage driven by the policies of OPEC. The standards raised fuel efficiency in American cars by 7.6 miles a gallon over six years, causing oil imports from the Persian Gulf to fall by 87 percent.
The CAFE standards worked so well that they produced an oil glut by 1986. That's when the Reagan administration intervened to rescue America's domestic oil industry from gasoline price collapse. Reagan's rollback of CAFE standards caused America, in that year, to double oil imports from the Persian Gulf nations and to burn more oil than is in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
If the United States had continued to conserve oil at the rate it did in the period from 1976 to 1985, we would no longer have needed Persian Gulf oil after 1985. Every increase of one mile per gallon in auto fuel efficiency yields more oil than is in two Arctic National Wildlife Refuges. An improvement right now of 2.7 miles per gallon would eliminate our need for all Persian Gulf oil!
Yet the Republican Congress in 1995 made it illegal for the EPA even to study higher CAFE standards. The result is that America now has the worst energy efficiency in 20 years.
The 1986 oil price crash can be solely attributed to the Saudi government reacting to loss of market share (and income), flooding the market with their oil, and running higher cost producers out of business.
Saudi Arabia was faced with the no-win choice of either cutting production to maintain the official selling price or cutting prices and flooding the market. Between 1980 and 1985, Saudi Arabia cut production from 9.9 million barrels per day to four million barrels per day losing significant market share.
By 1985, Saudi Arabia was tired of shouldering the full burden of price defense and looking on as its revenues declined. In September 1985, Sheikh Yamani, in conjunction with the Aramco partners, instituted a dramatic change of policy to regain Saudi Arabia's lost share of the crude oil market. Between August 1985 and August 1986, Saudi Arabian production increased from 2.2 million to 6.2 million barrels per day, and the spot price of many world crudes fell to less than $10 from their previous 1985 levels of around $26 to $29 per barrel.
Hence, rising oil prices led to oil conservation and substitution; which led to reduced demand; which led to cutting production in an attempt to prop up prices; which led to lost market share; which led to increased production to recapture market share; which led to significantly increased downward price pressure.
Sounds to me like fuel conserving standards and oil substitution in the form of alternatives is a pretty good thing.
The $18 billion of so called tax breaks are not "oil company" tax breaks. It simply amounts to the oil companies using the same tax code that applies to every other US Company. For some reason, which I don't understand, members of Congress seem to have the idea that the country would be better off if Exxon was domociled in another country, beyond the reach of US taxing authorities. Why else would Congress single them out for punishment when they are profitable? Maybe Hong Kong would be a better location.
Lets tax the hell out of the US oil companies, and the next time they are looking at a multi billion dollar project to bring in more oil, they can decide to let it go by the way side to avoid more "windfall profits"
The last thing we need as a country is a govt devised "energy policy" of anything other than "produce more of it" and hopefully with a profit for the producer. As to the alternative fuels, if profitably replacing $100 oil is not enough incentive for the Alternative folks, they really don't have much of an Alternative to start with.
er
Bubble
proponent
Exxon's real profit margin before share buybacks, and dividends was nearly 71 billion dollars. However, everyone focuses on the net number. Nobody forces XOM to issue 30 billion in dividends and buybacks
The reality is that XOM's real profit margin is closer to 20% than it is to 11.32%. It really annoys the hell out of me that no one in mainstream media or the internet recognizes this.
However, that being said, I don't fault Tillerson & Raymond & co for their obscene profit margin. I'd rather they have it, distribute it to their shareholders, and penetrate the real economy than have the government take it and waste it on stupid pet projects.
rosenman
I do agree with you about the government, but to state that 20 percent is "obscene" is plain wrong in view of the costs they have to incur to provide us with oil in the future.
Rather than have government regulate the oil companies, I’d sooner see the reverse. We’d probably have a budget surplus instead of a half-trillion dollar deficit.
You're even forgetting your own Econ 101. These oil companies would NOT contribute more to a budget surplus. They, like anyone else, do NOT like to pay taxes either. How do you reach the conclusion that we would then have a budget surplus in the absence of regulation? (For the record, I don't think there is great advantage one way or the other, but I am curious as to your argument.)
Rattus
I meant to imply that if the federal government were as financially prudent and efficient as the oil companies, this country would be in much better shape than it currently is.
can
For this reason, the price of gasoline needs to stay high, even higher in fact, to provide a financial incentive for us to migrate to EV's, like GM's Volt when they start production in 2010/11.
If you want to migrate before then, worth looking at buying a used Prius and converting it to a plug-in hybrid.
As for your recommendation to expropriate Venezuelan assets; Exxon tried that a few months ago (after Chavez illegally seized Exxon’s oil properties in the Orinoco Basin). A British court promptly dismissed the case.
Oil producing nations will continue to demand an ever-increasing share of the profits and there’s little the oil companies or the government can to do stop them.
Exxon pays a dividend and buys back shares with after-tax dollars. You cannot add share buyback dollars and dividend dollars to profit. Dividends are actually taxed twice. The company pays income taxes then shareholders pay taxes on their dividends. Many folks in DC want to tax dividends more. THis is why companies like Google and other profitable tech companies do not pay dividends.
Why we are on the topic of taxes, corporations do not pay taxes. People pay corporate taxes in the form of higher prices. Corporations have to make a profit that is suitable for the amount of risk they take. Otherwise bankers and shareholders will not invest. This profit is an after-tax number. Thus the more government taxes corporations, the more risk they take for all investments. Higher taxes make it harder for corporations to invest and grow. America is becoming less competitive globally because we are raising corporate tax rates as most other countries are lowering them.
an
an
However, it does amaze me how those associated with the oil industry are so damn terrified of change. Does anyone envision a future powered by petroleum? I for one see solar buildings, trash-based fuels, and fields dotted by windmills.
Is clean energy such a bad thing? Why not push for a shift towards fuels that don't cause acid rain, smog, or greenhouse gas emissions? Why not push for technologies that don't require ridiculous amounts of fuel that will eventually run out?
Oh right. Change is hard. Boohoo, Exxon will lose some money. BP will lose some money. Chevron will lose some money. Boohoo, their profits will go to making the world cleaner and towards giving human technology the ability to stand the test of time. Boohoo, you who are invested in Big Oil will lose money.
Except you're investors. Change is a market reality. Spending money to achieve change is also a market reality. How many major, large-cap, high-profit companies were born out of Kennedy's push to reach the moon before the Russians (and his subsequent spending of billions of government dollars)? How many people laughed at Ford for selling the Model T for such a low cost?
Maybe if fools who are too blind or too scared to take a leap and realize that change is what has driven the American economy since its inception open their eyes to see the tremendous possibilities for economic growth (and investor gain) in the alternative energy industry, then money will flood these companies and they'll have the same advantage that Exxon has for its own R&D: lots and lots of money.
Then we'll see which energy solutions are really more viable.
User 177596 mentioned the fact that what I mentioned as a possible solution regarding the expropriation of Venezuelan assets in the U.S. has already been tried. Yes, I read that too. The problem there is that the case was tried in a British court. It is well known that the European nations embrace Socialism. The outcome of that legal exercise was predictable. The case should be re-tried in a court in the U.S. Why did the case go to a British court when it has to do with Venezuelan assets on U.S. soil?
This is the danger with installing Clinton, Obama or any other communist (democrat) in the White House. They will make the U.S. beholden to the International court (in Europe). This would be a complete disaster! Furthermore, the installation of another socialist to office of President would result in more liberals on the Supreme Court. This could have negative effects on what is left of our Constitution since these people (who aren't for America or American citizens) will legislate from the bench.
User 177596 also mentioned that "Oil producing nations will continue to demand an ever-increasing share of the profits and there’s little the oil companies or the government can to do stop them". This is a valid point. But, I believe that if our government really wanted to do something constructive, it could be done. The "answers"/so... that they have come up with are, in my opinion, ludicrous. Putting an additional tax on companies that drill and distill oil will not lower the prices at the pump! These additional "costs" of goods sold will be passed onto the consumer. Why, because they must maintain (or increase) margins. The execs at XOM and other oil companies must ensure stockholder value by growing the business and expanding revenues. Their bottoms are on the line. I understand this and I am all for capitalism. But how much money do you need? If the answer is more, than why can't companies such as XOM branch off into other products and services in order to generate revenue as opposed to increasing their profit on something that most folks have no choice but to buy (since there are very few substitues -- if any)?
Speaking of substitutes; AverageAmerican, who posted in reply to my rant, sees what I see with the usage of ethanol as a way to shore up supply concerns. It is not a viable substitute. But, this is one of the solutions that was proposed and instituted (mandated). Another "solution" that has been proposed by those in positions of power is to further the usage of coal and/or nuclear power. Both of these solutions could lead to the end of life as we know it.
Why? Very few people know that in addition to sulfur dioxide and mercury (and other particle air contaminants), coal contains intrinsic amounts of uranium. Some of the coal that is mined in the U.S. could be considered ore grade as far as the amount of uranium that is inside it is concerned. What this means is that you could mine the coal for the uranium. It also means that what they are burning in these coal fired energy plants is radioactive! And as far as nuclear is concerned...that is just a bad idea any way you think about it!!
What America needs is some decent heads working to find a solution. I am not convinced that those who are now and have been "elected" in the past, have the mental capability (or the scruples) to do the right thing... even if they don't, maybe the "invisible hand" will come to our "emotional rescue". Greed can be good!!! It is my opinion that high pump prices will probably bring about the increase in the efficiency of photo-voltaics and hydrogen powered fuel cells (p.e.m). They are long overdue in my opinion. Once production costs are lowered and they become mainstream, it is my bet that they will eventually supply most of the energy needs in the U.S. (but the solutions I offered earlier, are of a more short-term nature) ...If you read my earlier post, please feel free to add PV.'s and P.E.M. Fuel Cells to my list of "solutions".
Theres a great deal of things going on right now that are furthering the "burning of Rome". Leaders of the U.S. better get their heads out of their bums and find viable solutions to the "root of the evil". It should be noted though, that sometimes the best solution (as far as the government is concerned) is to do nothing!
Best Wishes Everyone.
Where will the money for these "decent heads" come from? Are you expecting bright minds to go to solving a difficult problem without good money paying their salaries and funding the equipment needed to do the research? Because that's far more "communist" than the Democrats you so eloquently (and ignorantly) put down.
What needs to happen is an evening of the field. In the same way that globalization has opened the doors to economic growth in previously decrepit nations (did you ever go to India in the early 90s?), a shift in funding from energy sources that do more damage to the world economy (in real costs) to energy sources that do more good will open the doors to new, cost-efficient forms of power.
As for ethanol, I agree that corn-based ethanol is a terrible form of energy, from an economic and social standpoint. But not enough dialogue (or money) goes toward cellulosic ethanol. Bluefire Ethanol has licensed a technology that allows it to use methane from decaying landfills to power plants that turn the waste in the landfills to ethanol. No corn, no food prices. Tell me how that is a bad idea.
And since when is Great Britain "socialist"?
You mentioned that "a shift in funding from energy sources that do more damage to the world economy (in real costs) to energy sources that do more good will open the doors to new, cost-efficient forms of power." I totally agree and the funding that you mention can and will be used to pay the salaries of the bright minds to bring it about. How you made the connection to what I mentioned to Communism is beyond my capacity to think. I never mentioned that these "bright minds" would be working for free in order to further advanced fuel technologies.
Using landfills as an energy source for the future is exactly what I am speaking of when I mentioned the photo membrane exchange system (P.E.M. fuel cell). Methane is converted into Hydrogen by a process called Electrolysis (which could be "fueled" by solar, wind and/or hydro technologies). It looks to be very promising.
As far as Britain, France, Spain, Sweden and other nations (except for maybe Ireland) located in Europe are concerned, they are extremely socialist! Don't believe me? Look at their tax structure and health care programs. I sure wouldn't want to live in any of those countries. They're banana republics as far as I am concerned(and so is India...at least for now). The bottom line (and the members of congress should take note) is that a country cannot tax and spend its way to "economic freedom".
It appears as though this country is headed down the wrong path (and will look more like Europe within a short period of time). The U.S., as more socialists come to power, is becoming more communistic as other countries become more capitalistic. China (and India) are two prime examples. China especially is kicking our butt right now and it will become more difficult for us to compete if prices of fuel remain at all time highs. It (Socialism aka. Marxism, aka. Totalitarianism) is another "root of evil" that will eventually lead to the fall of "Rome".
The bottom line is, that a country can't tax and spend its way to economic freedom.
No one likes shelling out $3.50 per gallon of gas or $4.00 for heating oil. But more government intervention will lead to a much worse situation: shortages. Putting controls on profits is the same as price controls---and we all know how that usually turns out.
hissyfit
My main question for you, then, is: where do you propose the money to fund these bright minds come from? If not from the profits of companies who are imposing negative externalities on consumers, then where? The principle is the same as forcing tobacco companies to pay for tobacco education ads like "Truth".
Yes, for a while, there will be some price shocks, and there will be some pain. But with the pain of higher gas prices will come the character of driving more fuel efficient cars, updating and using stagnant and archaic public transportation systems, and an eventual transition to forms of technology that will allow us to drive however much we want without worry about the financial or environmental impacts.
Look at our Socialist comrades in Europe: they have the Eurorail and incredible subway systems in every city, their bus systems are well-used and efficiently function, and their cars are clearly not compensating for their "johnsons" - the things are half the size of an American sedan. I agree that the macroeconomic conditions in those countries are less than ideal elsewhere, but in the specific instance of transportation, taxing and spending is exactly what they have done, to enviable effect.
I was involved in the startup of one of America’s first (and still one of the largest) ethanol plants, New Energy Co. in South Bend, Indiana. In 1980, ethanol made economic sense. Corn production exceeded demand; ethanol production absorbed some of the surplus, thereby stabilizing prices. Only a few questioned the long term implications of a food-for-fuel tradeoff. Now we’re left to deal with the consequences.
You have made some very good points! It is easy for me to see that you have put a great deal of thought and have done a lot of research in this area. I agree, motivation must come from somewhere in order to develop new technology. There must be a catalyst. High pump prices will more than likely spur growth in the areas of alt-energy development, fuel efficiency and alternate transportation. Many of these new technologies are indeed, "ecologically friendly". Your question as to where the money will come from in order to advance these projects is one that you probably already know the answer. Private industry, V.C., and the U.S. Government.
The point that I was trying to make is that I didn't think that we had the best minds (in the government) working to find a decent solution to the problems at hand.
But one point that I would like to make that I didn't, is that many folks from foreign countries do not (or do not want to consider) the American culture (what there is of it). We like our own "stuff" and a lot of us like wide open spaces.
You had mentioned: "Look at our Socialist comrades in Europe: they have the Eurorail and incredible subway systems in every city, their bus systems are well-used and efficiently function, and their cars are clearly not compensating for their "johnsons" - the things are half the size of an American sedan. I agree that the macroeconomic conditions in those countries are less than ideal elsewhere, but in the specific instance of transportation, taxing and spending is exactly what they have done, to enviable effect."
Enviable for who? Certainly not for the individual. Individualism is what America is all about and people from foreign lands feel that they (American citizens) should give it up and ride the damn bus. They believe that the individual must work their lives around the schedule of the transportation company if they want to go anywhere. Aint gonna work (other than in one of our crime ridden, pollution filled cities). We love our cars and some of us like em big and loud! (But... it sure would be nice if they got 100 mpg). The car is sort of an extension of self in this country. Yeah, I know..that seems shallow but I think that it is true to a high degree. I am thinking that more than a few people overcompensate for a small johnson by buying a big Ferrari. Think about it the next time you see one driving down the road. Anyway, good luck to you and everyone else who has read and/or posted on this board.
Peterson,
PhD.
The tax policies of European nations are the the main reason why prices are 8 bucks a gallon there. I am amazed that academics and politicians high gasoline prices appealing. Maybe it is because they don't pay to fill up their tanks? Apparently, they do not consider the impact of high gas and oil prices.
Gasoline is like heroin. People will pay any price for it. They must if they want to remain employed. In the meantime, this "tax" on the people is driving up the price of everything (which is something they apparently do not understand) I shake my head in disbelief every time the price of gasoline goes higher and another tax is levied on the public.
Your salary may support an increase in everything but for many, the net effect is devastating. Poor people are the ones that suffer the most since many live from paycheck to paycheck. If that doesn't deserve sympathy, I don't know what does.
Please read my post titled "Lowering Prices At The Pump" on Seeking Alpha if you would like a little more info. on how gasoline prices affect the economy.
Bruna
Bruna
Is it the increased government revenue that results from tax cuts? (go back and check the revenue increases after tax cuts were implemented. go back to Kennedy's and move forward from there).
Is it the freedom to choose what to do with YOUR money rather than give it to a bunch of inefficient, bloated, wasteful government programs run by bloated dishonest politicians of all ilk (see Jack Murtha who has forced millions and millions of dollars of funding on projects no one in government wants but he wants them. the arse.) I just sent a series of payments to the government to the tune of $75,000 over the year 2007 (not including the additional tax rip off we call social security). Just think how much I could have done with that money versus giving it to the government? I'd rather take that money and donate it to charities to feed people, or fund my retirement rather than rely on a ponzi scheme called social security, or directly fund my mother's retirement and medical care.
While I agree that all parties bear similar traits of misdirected spending, when I hear leaders of Dem's I hear tax more, give away more, screw success and screw businesses. At least the Rep's don't want to do all of them!! This year we get to choose from an older Rep who has proposed many things I hate (opening boarders, campaign finance "reform" and others), a habitual lier who will drive us into a nanny state with her policies, or a young, inexperience marxist who hates a certain race of people. Hmmm, I think I choose none of the above. Or Nader. great.
As far as social security is concerned, it was a plan (just like ethanol) that the fine folks in Washington dreamed up that never should have materialized. In my opinion, it has been one of the biggest "thefts" ever perpetrated on the populace. Why? because many have paid into this "retirement fund" and did not reach the age to collect. Where did the money go????? Probably into projects such as Hillary's Woodstock Museum. The funds DIDN'T go where they should have (to the heirs of those who died before they could begin collecting).
Micheal, in reference to your post which pertained to "fairness" Do you think that it is fair to put a stranglehold on the U.S. if other nations are not adhering to this treaty? With gas and oil prices at their current levels, unions that have run amok, and a financial system that is in tatters at the moment, does it make sense to place another burden unto the productive? We all want clean air and water but, any time you get the government into the business of regulation and enforcement of business, it is bad news and means higher prices for the consumer due to their lack of efficiency. One important thing to remember, a government bureaucracy has only one mission, and that is to increase its bureau (not to look out for the best interests of the average joe bunda).
Stop blaming big oil for Americas thirst for oil. Americans like big cars that drink the fuel. I sure am proud to be American and to have a great job working for BIG OIL.
I believe that what's really happening is that we are fighting two wars in the middle east. One combat and the other economic. I personally feel that we should never put men on the ground anywhere that we don't want to keep. The war in the Middle East is costing us about a billion a week. We are footing the whole bill. And supporting the useless UN operation. ( Who have never been on our side )
The economical war is bleeding us dry at home through higher diesel prices that are forcing the cost of everything we use to esculate.
Both our government and big oil are doing nothing to aleviate this economic problem. Alcohol costs more to produce than we are paying for a gallon of gas. (The political posturing looks good but usually produces nothing). Alcohol has less actual energy. It takes more alcohol to go the same distance than gasoline.
The only sensible direction is atomic power plants, solar power and a large reduction in horsepower and lower rear axle ratios to greatly increase efficiency. Oil fields in Idaho and Canada could help, but, only if they are not restricted to keep prices up.