At the beginning of the year, I pulled together 32 dividend stocks to pick in 2012. They were named the 2012 Best Dividend Stocks in my free eBook. It’s always fun to throw predictions on the table, but I think it’s even more important to follow them throughout the year. This is what I did after the first quarter (you can read my update here). At that time, I was outperforming both U.S. and Canadian markets with my picks. I had a few top scorers that were making the bulk of my yield. If you think that dividend stocks don’t swing, you will be surprised after looking at this Q2 update!
Let’s Start With The Numbers
I’m presenting both charts right away with results after 3 and after 6 months (data as at July 11). I’ve also added a dividend yield column. The dividend yield is in reference to the current distribution from Google Finance. I’ve taken the S&P 500 index and the TSX 60 as reference. I know I could have picked dividend ETFs to compare only dividend stocks amongst each other but I wanted to see how dividend stocks perform against the overall markets. In other words; should you look at dividend stocks when building your portfolio?
Best US Dividend Stocks
|Company||Ticker||3 months||6m (Jul 11th)||Dividend Yield|
|Avon Products Inc||AVP||10.82%||-11.28%||5.94%|
|Black Rock Inc||BLK||14.96%||-1.74%||3.43%|
|Flowers Food Inc||FLO||7.32%||19.02%||2.83%|
|General Mills Inc||GIS||-2.37%||-3.16%||3.37%|
|Johnson & Johnson||JNJ||0.57%||3.54%||3.59%|
|Lockheed Martin Corp||LMT||11.08%||7.34%||4.61%|
|Procter & Gamble||PG||0.75%||-7.96%||3.66%|
|Seagate Technology PLC||STX||64.35%||54.70%||3.94%|
|Sunoco Logistics Partners LP||SXL||-4.04%||-3.27%||4.49%|
|Wisconsin Energy Corp||WEC||0.63%||15.22%||2.98%|
|Waste Management Inc||WM||6.87%||-3.41%||4.50%|
After it announced that its Q2 and Q3 results would be impacted, ConocoPhillips (COP) lost about 25% in a single week. After showing a positive return of 4.30% (+ dividend) after three months, COP is now down by more than 25% since January 2012! This was a hard hit on this virtual portfolio. Radio Shack (RSH) was disputed by many readers when I first picked this stock. I can’t blame them today! The stock is now down 59%. After seeing its stock surge on a potential offer to purchase the company by Coty, Avon (AVP) dropped as the deal fell through. This is how we went from +10% to -11% in a single quarter. These were the worst three picks I have had so far.
Fortunately, I also have several good picks. Seagate Technology (you can read my STX stock analysis here) is still up by 54% and we should see the stock continue to climb. The P/E ratio is low and the profits are stable. I definitely think that STX is a good pick. Wisconsin Energy (WEC) surged by 15% in just three months. Good news, strong results and reaffirmed guidance for future quarters contributed to push WEC a little higher. This stock is on a steady uptrend since… 2009. AT&T (T) is another stock that went from +3% to +16% in only 3 months.
When I compare my overall portfolio, I don’t beat the index. At best, I’m showing a 5.84% return including the dividend yield. The S&P 500 is showing a 6.67% improvement before the dividend yield. The interesting part is that if I take out my Big Miss (RSH), I beat the index. This is to show you the importance of not gambling on a stock and turning to more stable values. Overall, I’m still confident that my stocks will rebound and I’ll be able to match the index (as long as I don’t get another big miss).
Best Canadian Dividend Stocks
I have fewer Canadian stocks but they performed well over the first two quarters. The interest for telecom has risen during the last quarter. As the Canadian economy is going sideways due to the slowdown in energy and resources demand, more stable industries saw their shares head upward. BCE (from -5.96% to +0.05%) and Telus (T) (from 0.42% to 7.96%) both showed good financial results. The difference between my U.S. and Canadian portfolio is that I don’t have any stocks that tanked. My worst pick is IGM at -11% which is not too bad considering the overall market.
As the TSX 60 dropped by 3.43% since January, my stocks are up 3.88% before dividend. The overall dividend yield is at 4.45%, which is even more than the capital appreciation. This portfolio shows great stocks in good financial positions. I don’t expect any big surprises for the rest of the year.
As you can see, it’s not that easy to predict the future. Overall, I’m still pretty happy about my picks since both portfolios are showing positive results in a very hectic stock market. Once again, the dividend yield plays a big role in the investment return.
Disclaimer: I own shares of CVX, INTC, JNJ, STX, NA & T (Telus)