On Yahoo/ Microsoft: Jerry Yang Should Be Fired
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So Microsoft (MSFT) has taken its ball and gone home: the company announced that it is withdrawing its bid for Yahoo (YHOO) after the company refused its bumped-up $33 a share offer and stuck firm to its demand for $37 a share. The letter from Steve Ballmer, which my friend Paul Kedrosky also has posted, describes how Yahoo not only refused the offer, but made it obvious that it was prepared to effectively commit corporate hari-kiri in order to make itself as unappealing as possible. Among other things, it planned to sign a keyword-ad deal with Google (GOOG).
I’m all for fiduciary duty, and in particular the duty of senior executives to scour the globe for a competing offer in order to get the best value for their shares. But Yahoo has had three months and has turned up nothing but an unbelievably lame deal with AOL (TWX) (or so rumor has it).
What possible reason could it have for pushing Microsoft to $37? The existing offer was already 70 per cent higher than the stock was trading at prior to the bid. And the Google deal is just a poison pill by another name.
In my view, Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang has gone way beyond fiduciary duty and has been effectively blocking this deal in any way possible. I expect to see the stock tank, and deservedly so. If I were a shareholder, I would be calling for Yang’s head. This deal was by far the best opportunity the company had to achieve some value.
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This article has 56 comments:
The stock was trading down at 19 or 20 prior to the microsoft deal news, but the market was worse and Y! has beat and rasied guidance twice since then. Id put the stock at 25 range now and if the search deal is done right, above 30.
If this stock goes to 19 this week, id be buying on the overreaction. Jerry knew this was an option when he let the deadline pass....another plan is clearly in his back pocket.
Unless Jerry can get MSFT back to the table he is going to be facing extreme pressure because this deal is the only way he is ever going to get anything close to this kind of value for his company. Yang needs to be reasonable and realistic.
Tiedeman
of shareholders are going to lose a fortune, and YHOO may never get to $33 again. Google will lose interest in helping YHOO now that MSFT has moved on, this is absolubtly reckless.
Devereaux
With P/E at 60 and pays no devidend, why doesn't the Motley Fool comment on that?
Don't hold your breathe, Yahoo doesn't have the dought.
Long term growth is fine, but if your investment drops dead, you'd have nothing to grow.
In any event Yahoo is now a publicly traded company and not owned by Mr. Lang. I would appear he is not representing the shareholders, only his overwhelming ego. - In Psychology courses I believe it is taught that bizarre people such as arsonist, etc. have a sexual climax when they observe what they have done. Could this merely be the situation now?
I am not smart enough to know any of the answers, only ask questions as peasant would do.
In any event Yahoo is now a publicly traded company and not owned by Mr. Lang. I would appear he is not representing the shareholders, only his overwhelming ego. - In Psychology courses I believe it is taught that bizarre people such as arsonist, etc. have a sexual climax when they observe what they have done. Could this merely be the situation now?
I am not smart enough to know any of the answers, only ask questions as peasant would do.
MSFT is up on Monday, back to $32-33 a share.. YHOO is down to $17-$19.. GOOG sees a nice $20-$25 a share pop and closes just under or over $600..
Watch and learn puppies.
The board (and Jerry, of course) looked at the presented option very seriously and rejected it because it does not make sense. As it has been pointed out, the Google deal is not a poison pill but actually a very sound business move to effectively monetize the traffic that Yahoo! gets. This will potentially let Yahoo! focus on display advertising (where Yahoo! is a market leader for those of you who don't do your home work).
The new strategy that the company has laid out, is quite focussed and is definitely resulting in good set of products being launched (or announced).
If Yahoo! can execute on some of the announcements that have been made - you would see the stock doubling by the end of this year or early next year. Then let's see where all the folks who are calling for Yang's head.
So now what ??
If your an inexperienced investor and your sitting on a pile of Yahoo shares ?? .......... should you dump them first thing Monday morning before they head south too badly ??
Or ......... hang on to them and pray to all that is holy that Yahoo gets it's act together and starts being profitable .
P.S. "Thanks-alot Yang " !! .......... You Dumbass !!
As an owner of the stock, of course I would like a short-term game. As an investor in a company, Yahoo did the right thing. A marriage with MSFT would've been a disaster for both companies. I believe strongly in Yahoo's long-term growth, so if I have to wait a few quarters or a few years, so be it.
And did anyone else notice how strangely Ballmer acted throughout the entire transaction. Spoiled child? I can't quite figure out what to call it, but he certainly did not seem to act like a dispassionate businessman. He reminded me of those Viet Nam era generals who said, "we have to destroy this village to save it." Anyway, we long-term investors will have endure Bloody Monday. I'm not going to turn my computer on that morning. But I will look forward to the future.
s
i can see why jerry did not want his baby to get eaten up a bemoth that after 10 years and billions of dollars of investment is still losing money on ther web.
YHOO will likely trade between $22 and $25. MSFT can buy up to 5% on the open market tomorrow at levels $10 below the potential deal price saving MSFT $1B (1.4B/shares x 50% x $12 savings) or more. Additionally MSFT will also benefit tremendously from a rally in MSFT stock on news of the deal getting cancelled. If MSFT uses a 50/50 cash/stock ratio like they did in their original bid every $1.50 that MSFT rises above Friday's close saves them $1B. In the absence of any additional news I would expect about a $2 ralley in MSFT. So essentially MSFT's bid can increase by more than $2B or $1.50/share (from $33 to $34.50)without them even raising the bid. In fact, they could potentially make a $35 bid on Tuesday based upon Monday's MSFT closing price and actually be paying the equivalent of the $33 bid they wanted this weekend.
Clearly Yang and YHOO's bankers are aware of this but it seems their backs are against the wall at this point. Just a theory.
Now you can also see the new CEO of AT&T loaded with cash who has stated that they need the search and add business as their land line revenue shrinks as everything goes wireless. Then theirs IBM and Apple and News Corp with MY SPACE. You also have been seeing major newspapers going to Yahoo not Google for their online add and search business. I am holding my Yahoo investment and because the news media will manipulate and be all over Yahoo shares t/m bringing it down and i really dont think it will be much and see the hedgefunds gobble it up because there will be new suitors coming to the table now that Microsoft is out of the picture. Software business will be dead in less then 3 years and companies have already started giving it away for market share in search and add and internet usage. This is the core of MS business. Then to not wait and release Microsofts statement until Monday morning seems strange. Google does it again and spoils the best chance Microsoft ever had to move into more market share of search & add and Balmer gives up. Major shareholders of Yahoo wanted 40 and said go down to 37 if you have too but no less. Allibba will play a key part this week as it brings Baidu to the table which it has an interest in. With the games in China this year the media adds will be spending billions and Allibba is set up well and this can only increase Yahoo's bottom line. Hmmm this deal still might be done at 37 by a push by Mr. Gates who is most likely in talks with Ms. Decker at Warren Buffets anual meeting. Dont panic sell. I am holding and on the dips will most likely invest more in Yahoo in short term too because something else will coming out this week in Yahoo's favor i bet.
People who think Yahoo should have sold are idiots who think the market fairly values things. It's gambling, folks - today people feel good about you tomorrow they think you're going down hill, a week from now they may think you're the smartest thing they ever saw. All that matters is where they think, today, you're going to get to.
Yahoo on its own has a lot more upside potential than Microsoft - the odds on Yahoo doubling or tripling its stock price are way higher than that kind of change in Microsoft's stock. Yahoo has been up before and it can certainly be up again. Selling it to the wreckers for salvage would have been idiotic if the leadership believes the company is turning around.
DAnconia
Microsoft is yesterdays technology company trying to buy there way back into the fight. They have an online division that is in the red and an OS (Vista) that nobody wants.
I for one hope that Yahoo's stock price does drop on Monday so I can get in and buy while all of the folks that were running up the price on friday take their beating.
There a rough patch ahead for sure, but YHOO! will be stronger I believe.
e
e
www.investorslive.com/.../
and yeah, i think yhoo's average employees (not the top execs who already have secured their millions and billions) will certainly be happy to go to work again for their boss who has just cut their stockholdings' value by about 60%
well done, jerry yang, it could have ended for good - now you will preside over acompany in steady, painful decay - until you get fired and sued out of your chair.
with no new msft bid, yhoo will be $15 a year from now, at best
If you like holding for the long term you should be a stock broker. That's what mutual funds tell you so they can keep earning? their commissions from you for years and years and years..
Here's a few long termers for you. JDSU, TWX, and CMCSA. They should be good long terms for about 20 years. lol lol
You owe me.... lol
Microsoft has a tendency to kill innovation and right now the market would benefit from Microsoft staying far away from Yahoo. Why?
Because Microsoft is too slow moving. Its corporate culture will not mesh to be able to add to any value Yahoo might have. BASICALLY the deal was a simple asset rape and would dissipate after a year the deal would have gone through because of the real mass exodus of Yahoo talent.
As for Microsoft, they have effectively pushed the price of Yahoo beyond what anyone else will pay, and forced them into unappealing territory when they rejected the bid (a very one) from Microsoft. Now, although they did not 'get' Yahoo, they emasculated them as a competitor. Ballmer get's a B- and keep his job, and has many other alternatives to boost his presence in the search engine advertising space. My guess is that he will do that for far less than the acquisition price of Yahoo.
Google wins in the short term with two weak competitors, and quite possibly buys the time to 'own' the space for the long term as well. No surprises here.
I ask again, other than be Bill Gates' college buddy, what has Steve Ballmer ever done that qualifies him for his current job?
Grillo