I continue to knock on every piece of wood, artificial or otherwise,
as we continue to stake through this earnings period without a major
blowup. With so many positions this is a bit uncanny - and my
assumption will be this only means next earnings period we'll be taking
some body blows as what the market gives, she takes away soon enough.
But for now we enjoy.
Deep sea oil driller Atwood Oceanics (ATW)
reports a serious beat on the bottom line and a solid beat on the top
line. This continues the pattern in the sector and it only gets
better from here as old contracts disappear and new contracts get
signed at much higher rates. Analysts have estimated $6.71 for 2008
profits and $10.49 for 2009... I continue to believe this entire group
is sadly undervalued as it's been treated as a cyclical play as opposed
to a secular play... the latter should derive much higher valuations
but as you know, crude is going back to $50 anyday now as the "dollar
strengthens" and we stuff a few hundred million Indian, Chinese, and
Brazilians back to the countryside and tell them "no progress for you!"
So hence, these drillers are valued as if dayrates are going to plummet
any quarter now...
The press release for the earnings report is short & sweet...
- Atwood Oceanics, Inc., (ATW), Houston-based International Drilling Contractor, announced today that the Company earned net income of $41,755,000 or $1.30 per diluted share, on revenues of $113,530,000 for the quarter ended March 31, 2008 compared to net income of $31,757,000 or $1.01 per diluted share, on revenues of $94,262,000 for the quarter ended March 31, 2007. For the six months ended March 31, 2008, the Company earned net income of $80,304,000 or $2.49 per diluted share, on revenues of $224,578,000 compared to net income of $52,842,000 or $1.67 per diluted share, on revenues of $183,062,000 for the six months ended March 31, 2007.
p.s. someone left a comment a few days ago about National Oilwell Varco (NOV) and why it was not moving.... my comment was, it was strange to me as well considering the move in crude - well we got her moving today with a 9% spike. Finally. (I took some off a bit too early in the day however)
Disclosure: Long both names mentioned in fund; no personal position

