Once per month I update a high yield dividend stock momentum portfolio on Scott’s Investments. The portfolio is comprised of the highest yielding stocks in the S&P 500 with high price momentum.
The portfolio is a simple quantitative strategy and begins by screening the S&P 500 for stocks yielding greater than 4%. The results are then ranked by their 6 month returns. The top stocks are then added to a hypothetical portfolio and tracked publicly on Scott’s Investments. This month there were 49 results, six less than last month.
Per a previous article, the highest momentum, high-yield stocks have historically out-performed lower yielding, lower momentum stocks. The screen is more of a trading strategy and less of a passive income strategy, although the dividends do play an essential component in the overall returns. Thus, turnover could be high and the strategy is not for everyone but I have added one modification to the strategy to minimize turnover.
In order to limit turnover stocks with yields that have fallen below 4% due to share price appreciation will remain in the portfolio. Stocks will only be sold when yield falls below 4% due to dividend cuts or when the six-month performance would otherwise lag the top 10-11 stocks in the screen. .
The portfolio has turnover in three positions for August. Kimco Realty (KIM), FirstEnergy (FE), and Lorillard (LO) are all being sold. FE lost 6.47% in its brief one month stint in the portfolio. KIM was closed at a 9.72% gain in 4 months and LO for a .69% gain in eight months. Individual security returns exclude dividends.
The High Yield Momentum Portfolio was designed to be fully invested at all times regardless of market conditions. However, as part of a larger portfolio there may be additional steps an investor can take to reduce risk and diversify strategies. For example, the Ivy Portfolio uses a 10 month moving average to dictate an invested or cash position (signals are updated daily at Scott’s Investments). An investor could hedge long positions by shorting (or purchasing an inverse ETF) an equity market index such as the S&P 500 when it trades below a long-term moving average.
Below are the top 15 high yield momentum stocks as of August 9th. Keep in mind that only 10 stocks are held in the portfolio, the current holdings can be viewed on the right-hand side of Scott’s Investments and in the second table below.
Since inception the portfolio is up 9.27% including dividends. Returns exclude commissions, taxes, and are hypothetical:
Data source: Finviz
|Ticker||Company||Trend||Dividend Yield||Performance (Half Year)||Price|
|MO||Altria Group Inc.||Analysis||4.72%||21.61%||34.72|
|FTR||Frontier Communications Corporation||Analysis||8.49%||19.85%||4.71|
|VZ||Verizon Communications Inc.||Analysis||4.51%||19.81%||44.34|
|FII||Federated Investors, Inc.||Analysis||4.69%||18.20%||20.46|
|RAI||Reynolds American Inc.||Analysis||5.20%||16.03%||45.39|
|CINF||Cincinnati Financial Corp.||Analysis||4.22%||13.87%||38.18|
|DTE||DTE Energy Co.||Analysis||4.12%||13.28%||60.22|
|TEG||Integrys Energy Group, Inc.||Analysis||4.63%||13.25%||58.8|
|AEP||American Electric Power Co., Inc.||Analysis||4.33%||11.52%||43.37|
|CMS||CMS Energy Corp.||Analysis||4.05%||11.26%||23.72|
Current positions including the new updates:
|Position||Shares||Purchase Price||Purchase Date||Cost Basis||Current Value||Percentage Gain/Loss Excluding Dividends|