Thursday's Rally: Has Petrohawk Gotten Too Far Ahead of Itself?

| About: Halcon Resources (HK)

Clearing its previous high for the year, Petrohawk Energy (NYSE:HK) ran up 11.35% Thursday to close at $34.82. This Houston-based developer, producer, and distributor of oil and natural gas jumped on an upgrade by Lehman Brothers.

Trading over 2.5 times its normal volume, Petrohawk is a good company that couldn’t have had a better day yesterday, a pre-market upgrade on a day when crude oil recovered 5% from a recent decline with the overall market moving 1.75% higher. I like the company but would wait for a 2 dollar pullback before stepping in. If you could predict a similar period where both the market and oil rally, this stock would be a very nice vehicle to ride that movement.

The company has 30% earnings growth expected for the current quarter and roughly the same for next quarter. Sales growth of 21.7% estimated for the quarter ending in September 2008. The stocks current price/earnings ratio, 366.53, shows just how ahead of itself it is. Its forward P/E is a more reasonable 31.37. The stock has moved 121% over the past 52 weeks while the S&P 500 has declined 6% in the same time frame.

Another bullish sign in addition to the price action of the stock is the strong volume of the July Calls. Investors traded the 30, 35 and 40 July strike prices at well above normal levels yesterday, anticipating a move higher within the next 6 weeks.