Seeking Alpha

Larry Dignan


From ZDNet:

Microsoft (MSFT) said it will sell nearly 20 million Windows Mobile licenses in a letter designed to rally its smartphone partners. It’s no coincidence that the pep talk comes just a few days before these the likely launch of Apple’s (AAPL) 3G iPhone.

Todd Bishop has the Windows Mobile pep talk, which is designed to steal a little iPhone thunder. Charles Cooper says it’s quite a salute from Microsoft – perhaps the one-finger variety.

Who can blame Microsoft? Apple will have all the buzz come Monday when CEO Steve Jobs delivers his latest sermon at WWDC (previews). And Windows Mobile developers will feel uncool–almost like the Vista guy in the Apple commercials.

Among the key excerpts from Andy Lees, senior vice president of Microsoft’s mobile business:

This fiscal year we will sell nearly 20 million Windows Mobile smartphone licenses, making Windows Mobile one of the most widely used smartphone software platforms in the world. We also sold more in the previous four quarters than RIM, and in the last quarter our year-over-year unit growth alone was greater than sales of Apple’s iPhone.

Translation: Windows Mobile has traction. Don’t go chasing the shiny new object. And oh by the way we thought we’d top 20 million licenses.

To our 50 handset makers building phones with our software, thank you. With your help, we give Windows Mobile customers nearly 150 different phone choices — from phones with full keyboards to brilliant touch screens to convenient flip phones — with rich email, picture and music experiences. You’ve delivered Windows Mobile phones with features like GPS, 3+ megapixel cameras, and voice activation — features that other operating systems have been slow to deliver.

Translation: Boy it irks us that Apple generates all this iPhone buzz.

To all our developer partners who continue to innovate and bring new experiences to people and businesses every day, thank you. It is because of you that our Windows Mobile customers have the richest application catalog to choose from — over 18,000 applications to help pursue their hobbies, navigate life and work more efficiently. We’re happy to offer some of these applications through the Windows Mobile Owners Circle and provide you the flexibility to deliver them to your customers in whatever way makes sense. Today, more and more competitors are jumping into the smartphone market or announcing upgrades, with features we delivered to customers years ago…

Translation: We interrupt Apple’s App Store announcement to thump our chests about our own apps.

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This article has 11 comments:

  •  
    the problem microsoft has is that nobody cares.
    2008 Jun 06 07:26 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Yet another iPhone killer... ho-hum! No doubt as successful as Zune was at "killing" the iPod...

    It always amazes me when I hear ANYBODY telling me how great MS and its products are - after over 20 years in computing, and having dealt with MS from 3.0 forward in every capacity from end-user to sys admin, I can state with complete confidence that MS is not even in Apple's league - and never was, but especially since the advent of OS X.

    As MS loses market share to Apple AND Linux, I am sure their attempts to regain their former status will continue - but unless they change their entire model, they will continue to be unsuccessful...
    2008 Jun 07 02:30 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    MS can SAY all they want...the action is all APPLE. no one is holding their breath and counting the minutes for any MS announcements about anything except maybe buying YAHOO, which they also blew.
    2008 Jun 07 10:27 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This is probably the first response from Microsoft in a series of many that will follow as part of a broader campaign for Windows Mobile.

    Apple and Microsoft will have varied strategies but should iPhone gain dominance it will actually be good for Microsoft, as counter-intuitive as that may sound.

    Ultimately, I believe the market will be reduced to Google, Microsoft and Apple. The reason is--as Bill Gates himself put it--these are the only three companies that share the core software DNA. I am also slightly skeptical of Google's Android platform but given that it is Google and they are using a powerful Linux core the ingredients seem favorable though the overall recipe may not seem be compelling.

    If the iPhone can make a sizable dent in the Smart Phone market, the current phone makers will look to competitive offerings and the next best choice is Windows Mobile, and that is why the iPhone is good for Windows Mobile. Windows Mobile just like the OS X for the iPhone is an actual Operating System intertwined with the roadmap of it's Desktop counter part (Windows XP/Vista) and that is a moat Apple and Microsoft enjoy exclusively. Also, Windows Mobile in the face of renewed competition from Apple will dedicate more resources and minds to this segment.

    In the long run Microsoft will have to overcome some big obstacles which it could not with the Zune. Namely, the lack of vertical integration will mean the end product will not be as harmonious as the iPhone (services cloud, hardware, software, applications, desktop integration and interoperability) and that is something they will soon need to remedy. They really need to look beyond Windows Media Player and Outlook and actually come out with an iTunes like software that provides a centralized management interface for the end consumer (the corporate sphere would be better off using Outlook).

    Microsoft's weakness, I believe, comes from it's greatest strength. They are a platforms company and want Windows Mobile to have the same dominance in the mobile phone market as Windows XP enjoys in the desktop market. The platform strategy is brilliant if you can succeed at it. Not only are margins on software unparalleled but if your platform is the driver for all mobile markets, you can corner the entire market.

    The problem (and Microsoft's weakness) is that when your platform has to run on dozens of different manufacturers' phones each having different configurations (screen sizes, resolutions, touch screen vs roller ball, skins and themes etc) each change requires testing across hundreds of combinations and that makes the problem a lot more complex and the speed of execution much slower. Apple on the other hand can push updates every week if they wanted through iTunes and each update it makes need only be tested on a single device. The ease of development, management and deployment is something that few can appreciate but it is one of Apple's biggest strength.

    But if you are Nokia or Motorola looking to compete with OS X for the iPhone, your next best option is Windows Mobile. Symbian will not sustain this competition.

    Veering a bit off topic, I also feel the application store for the iPhone will be huge. It will be to the iPhone what the iTunes music store was to the iPod. You need only look at the native GMail application on the iPhone/iTouch to realize how much more powerful the User eXperience (UX) is compared to the web based version. Further, if your competition is pushing out apps on the iPhone, you will probably have to react and all that bodes well for Apple.
    2008 Jun 07 10:32 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    After over 20 years in computing working with MS-DOS to XP (no, not vista - why would anyone go there???) as a developer and engineer I would have to say that MS is not in Apple's league - they are after completely different markets, at least in professional applications. I would also say that Apple's applications are not ready for prime time in the professional world. That is in part due to the question of adoption, but also because MS' business applications are more polished - as might be expected given that MS has been chasing that market for more years. I recently bought a MACBook Pro - and that is the best hardware I have ever used. The OS is good (though I like the control that I have with XP more - possibly just a question of learning how OSX handles the details rather than a lack of capability in OSX to allow the same control), but the applications at the business end are just ok. And as an engineer there are major problems with the fact the many applications are not ported to OSX - even basic consumer ones such as Delorme Street Atlas (and no, there is no comparable app in Apple world the allows me to use my GPS the Laptop together so conveniently). Using VMWare and a separate XP license gives the best of both worlds, and that has been my approach. But it will be nice when (if?) Apple offers the hardware, os, and applications adoption so I can view a Mac as being truly competitive without the need to buy a separate license and install Windows.

    So while I would strongly recommend the Apple for someone who has little need for professional use outside of graphics, they aren't there yet for most of us in corporate America.
    2008 Jun 07 10:33 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I have a windows mobile phone. It's the biggest piece of CRAP I have ever owned!! It CRASHES.. a lot!! It does sync.. a lot!! And sometimes it doesn't respond, leaving me to hold down the power button (or pull the battery) to reboot. Great good MS.
    2008 Jun 07 11:36 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Microsoft is not a cool software company. Their products are boring & predictable. Give me Google, Facebook, Limewire, Ruby On Rails etc any day. MS is for dummies that think you need to pay for your software.
    2008 Jun 07 07:51 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Windows mobile can't stand up to iPhone v1, and it's totally outclassed by iPhone v2.
    2008 Jun 07 09:53 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    MS is reactionary not progressive. Since it is now so big, it can't seem to foster and encourage innovations that may be exciting for its current clients. MS can buy new technology or reverse engineer it but it can't create it from scratch.

    What MS needs is something on the order of a major prize to be given to anyone who brings it a world shaking innovation. Something like $10 billion for something truly new and exciting.
    2008 Jun 08 12:04 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Windows Mobile, Vista, Zune. What a legacy for the ages.

    Ballmer is the classic car salesman: overweight, sweaty, loud. There is some kind of disconnect at Redmond on what works and what people want. They just don't get it.
    2008 Jun 10 10:59 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    To Davis Gentry: Here is a true story: I wanted gps on the road. I had a Dell laptop with Vista. (Total piece of shit). I bought Streets & Trips with gps module. S&T is a fine product, but Vista would not recognize the gps module, even tho it was a Microsoft product!! Un-freaking-believable... It took me 30 minutes to make it work, and thenit oftne crashed.
    Finally did what I should have done, and bought a Garmin Nuvi which works fine.
    Microsoft sucks in every way possible, and if you like their products, it does not say much for you my friend.
    2008 Jun 10 11:04 AM | Link | Reply